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Zlín II vs Viktoria Otrokovice — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Zlín II
Zlín II
FT
4 – 5
HT: 2 – 3
Viktoria Otrokovice
Viktoria Otrokovice
S. Petruta 84'
J. Stefan 69'
L. Branecky 11', 5'
Attouhane 66'
O. Putyera 60'
S. Studeny 20'
S. Charles 15'
J. Rolinc 13'
1/10/2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Zlín II49%
×Draw19%
Viktoria Otrokovice32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zlín II
2.50
Viktoria Otrokovice
2.02

Zlín II creates 24% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 11 away

creates per match

Zlín II
3.00
Viktoria Otrokovice
2.55

allows per match

Zlín II
1.50
Viktoria Otrokovice
2.00

finishing

Zlín II+0.00on par
Viktoria Otrokovice+0.00on par

Total goals

83%Over
  • Over83
  • Under17

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

79%Yes
  • Yes79
  • No21

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zlín II ↓

Viktoria Otrokovice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–26%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (7%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
94%6%2.5
83%17%3.5
65%35%4.5
46%54%

Double chance

Zlín II or draw
68%
Zlín II or Viktoria Otrokovice
81%
Draw or Viktoria Otrokovice
51%

Winning margin

Zlín II wins by 2+
30%
Viktoria Otrokovice wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Zlín II 1+ goals
92%
Zlín II 2+ goals
71%
Zlín II 3+ goals
45%
Viktoria Otrokovice 1+ goals
87%
Viktoria Otrokovice 2+ goals
60%
Viktoria Otrokovice 3+ goals
33%

Draw no bet

Zlín II (draw refunded)
60%
Viktoria Otrokovice (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
74%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zlín II at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.50 · 6 matches

Viktoria Otrokovice away — creates 2.55, concedes 2.00 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zlín II attack 3.00 + Viktoria Otrokovice defence 2.00 → ÷2 → 2.50

Viktoria Otrokovice attack 2.55 + Zlín II defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 2.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Zlín II scores more
49%
level
19%
Viktoria Otrokovice scores more
32%

Zlín II at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Zlín II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

5'
L. Branecky
11'
L. Branecky
13'
J. Rolinc
15'
S. Charles
20'
S. Studeny
60'
O. Putyera
66'
Attouhane
69'
J. Stefan
84'
S. Petruta

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Zlín II 4–5 Viktoria Otrokovice

Viktoria Otrokovice beat Zlín II 5-4 in Friendlies Clubs on January 10, 2025.

Goals: L. Branecky (5', 11'), J. Rolinc (13'), S. Charles (15'), S. Studeny (20'), O. Putyera (60'), Attouhane (66'), J. Stefan (69'), S. Petruta (84').