Zlaté Moravce 0–0 Lokomotíva Zvolen: Result & Stats

Zlaté Moravce

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Lokomotíva Zvolen

4/2/2026

2. liga · Round 23Štadión FC ViOn

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 28+ matches

Zlaté Moravce51%

×Draw24%

Lokomotíva Zvolen25%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Zlaté MoravceExpected goals in this matchLokomotíva Zvolen

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.70

1.12

Zlaté Moravce

1.70

Lokomotíva Zvolen

1.12

Zlaté Moravce creates 52% more chances

Season form · 28 home / 30 away

1.93

creates per match

1.17

1.07

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Zlaté Moravce

1.93

Lokomotíva Zvolen

1.17

allows per match

Zlaté Moravce

1.07

Lokomotíva Zvolen

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Zlaté Moravce+0.00on par

Lokomotíva Zvolen+0.00on par

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zlaté Moravce ↓

Lokomotíva Zvolen →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–17%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–111%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–09%

2–110%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–15%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

31%69%4.5

15%85%

Double chance

Zlaté Moravce or draw

75%

Zlaté Moravce or Lokomotíva Zvolen

76%

Draw or Lokomotíva Zvolen

49%

Winning margin

Zlaté Moravce wins by 2+

27%

Lokomotíva Zvolen wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Zlaté Moravce 1+ goals

82%

Zlaté Moravce 2+ goals

51%

Zlaté Moravce 3+ goals

24%

Lokomotíva Zvolen 1+ goals

67%

Lokomotíva Zvolen 2+ goals

31%

Lokomotíva Zvolen 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Zlaté Moravce (draw refunded)

67%

Lokomotíva Zvolen (draw refunded)

33%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zlaté Moravce at home — creates 1.93, concedes 1.07 · 28 matches

Lokomotíva Zvolen away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.47 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zlaté Moravce attack 1.93 + Lokomotíva Zvolen defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.70

Lokomotíva Zvolen attack 1.17 + Zlaté Moravce defence 1.07 → ÷2 → 1.12

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 51%?"

Zlaté Moravce scores more

51%

level

24%

Lokomotíva Zvolen scores more

25%

Zlaté Moravce at 51% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 51% does not mean "Zlaté Moravce will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff