Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Žilina II vs Liptovský Mikuláš — 2. liga 2019

Žilina II
Žilina II
FT
1 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
Liptovský Mikuláš
Liptovský Mikuláš
9/28/20252. liga2. liga · Round 10Futbalový ?tadión Strá?ov

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 67+ matches

Žilina II45%
×Draw22%
Liptovský Mikuláš33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Žilina II
1.94
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.63

Žilina II creates 19% more chances

Season form · 97 home / 67 away

creates per match

Žilina II
2.23
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.66

allows per match

Žilina II
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.64

finishing

Žilina II+0.00on par
Liptovský Mikuláš+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Žilina II ↓

Liptovský Mikuláš →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Žilina II or draw
67%
Žilina II or Liptovský Mikuláš
78%
Draw or Liptovský Mikuláš
55%

Winning margin

Žilina II wins by 2+
25%
Liptovský Mikuláš wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Žilina II 1+ goals
86%
Žilina II 2+ goals
58%
Žilina II 3+ goals
30%
Liptovský Mikuláš 1+ goals
80%
Liptovský Mikuláš 2+ goals
48%
Liptovský Mikuláš 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Žilina II (draw refunded)
58%
Liptovský Mikuláš (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
60%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Žilina II at home — creates 2.23, concedes 1.60 · 97 matches

Liptovský Mikuláš away — creates 1.66, concedes 1.64 · 67 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Žilina II attack 2.23 + Liptovský Mikuláš defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.94

Liptovský Mikuláš attack 1.66 + Žilina II defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Žilina II scores more
45%
level
22%
Liptovský Mikuláš scores more
33%

Žilina II at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Žilina II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Žilina II vs Liptovský Mikuláš

Žilina II beat Liptovský Mikuláš 1-0 in 2. liga on September 28, 2025.

The match was played at Futbalový ?tadión Strá?ov in Žilina.