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ZFC Meuselwitz vs Plauen — Friendlies Clubs 2026

ZFC Meuselwitz
ZFC Meuselwitz
CANC
12:30
Plauen
Plauen
1/20/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3bluechip-Arena

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

ZFC Meuselwitz62%
×Draw18%
Plauen20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

ZFC Meuselwitz
2.54
Plauen
1.40

ZFC Meuselwitz creates 81% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 4 away

creates per match

ZFC Meuselwitz
2.57
Plauen
1.50

allows per match

ZFC Meuselwitz
1.29
Plauen
2.50

finishing

ZFC Meuselwitz+0.00on par
Plauen+0.00on par

Total goals

75%Over
  • Over75
  • Under25

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

69%Yes
  • Yes69
  • No31

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

ZFC Meuselwitz ↓

Plauen →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 89% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
75%25%3.5
55%45%4.5
35%65%

Double chance

ZFC Meuselwitz or draw
80%
ZFC Meuselwitz or Plauen
82%
Draw or Plauen
38%

Winning margin

ZFC Meuselwitz wins by 2+
41%
Plauen wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

ZFC Meuselwitz 1+ goals
92%
ZFC Meuselwitz 2+ goals
72%
ZFC Meuselwitz 3+ goals
46%
Plauen 1+ goals
75%
Plauen 2+ goals
41%
Plauen 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

ZFC Meuselwitz (draw refunded)
76%
Plauen (draw refunded)
24%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

ZFC Meuselwitz at home — creates 2.57, concedes 1.29 · 7 matches

Plauen away — creates 1.50, concedes 2.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

ZFC Meuselwitz attack 2.57 + Plauen defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.54

Plauen attack 1.50 + ZFC Meuselwitz defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.40

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

ZFC Meuselwitz scores more
62%
level
18%
Plauen scores more
20%

ZFC Meuselwitz at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "ZFC Meuselwitz will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

ZFC Meuselwitz vs Plauen — Match Preview

ZFC Meuselwitz face Plauen on January 20, 2024 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

ZFC Meuselwitz host Plauen at bluechip-Arena.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.