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Zemplín Michalovce vs Podbrezová — League #332 2026

Zemplín Michalovce
Zemplín Michalovce
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Podbrezová
Podbrezová
P. Volanakis 47'
R. Siler 54'
R. Galcik 15'
4/25/2026League #332League #332 · Championship Group - 7Mestsky futbalovy stadion Michalovce

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Zemplín Michalovce14%
×Draw20%
Podbrezová66%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zemplín Michalovce
0.88
Podbrezová
2.14

Podbrezová creates 143% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 8 away

creates per match

Zemplín Michalovce
1.00
Podbrezová
1.88

allows per match

Zemplín Michalovce
2.40
Podbrezová
0.75

finishing

Zemplín Michalovce+0.00on par
Podbrezová+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zemplín Michalovce ↓

Podbrezová →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–111%
0–211%
0–38%
0–44%
1
1–04%
1–19%
1–210%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–14%
2–24%
2–33%
2–42%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (11%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
35%65%4.5
18%82%

Double chance

Zemplín Michalovce or draw
34%
Zemplín Michalovce or Podbrezová
80%
Draw or Podbrezová
86%

Winning margin

Zemplín Michalovce wins by 2+
4%
Podbrezová wins by 2+
42%

Team goals

Zemplín Michalovce 1+ goals
59%
Zemplín Michalovce 2+ goals
22%
Zemplín Michalovce 3+ goals
6%
Podbrezová 1+ goals
88%
Podbrezová 2+ goals
63%
Podbrezová 3+ goals
36%

Draw no bet

Zemplín Michalovce (draw refunded)
18%
Podbrezová (draw refunded)
82%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zemplín Michalovce at home — creates 1.00, concedes 2.40 · 5 matches

Podbrezová away — creates 1.88, concedes 0.75 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zemplín Michalovce attack 1.00 + Podbrezová defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 0.88

Podbrezová attack 1.88 + Zemplín Michalovce defence 2.40 → ÷2 → 2.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Zemplín Michalovce scores more
14%
level
20%
Podbrezová scores more
66%

Podbrezová at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Podbrezová will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

10
R. SilerPodbrezováPodbrezová · F
7.9

Match Events

15'
R. Galcik↳ R. Siler
22'
Polydefkis Volanakis
38'
Luka Silagadze
42'
Kevor Palumets
47'
P. Volanakis↳ S. Ramos
54'
R. Siler↳ K. Palumets
61'
H. Ahl← K. Brosnan
65'
P. Kovacik← L. Silagadze
65'
B. Mrvaljevic← V. Chyla
79'
O. Kalemi← B. Cottrell
82'
R. Paraj← R. Siler
82'
M. Duraj← R. Galcik
83'
Jakub Luka
85'
S. Danko← A. Zubairu
87'
S. Fasko← S. Stefanik
90+5'
Orestis Kalemi

Possession

68%Zemplín

Shots

21Zemplín

Pass accuracy

55%Zemplín

Statistics

ZemplínPodbrezová
Overview
68%Possession32%
21Total Shots8
0.83Expected Goals (xG)1.30
7Corners0
16Fouls16
Shots
21Total Shots8
2On Target4
9Off Target4
10Blocked0
9Inside Box4
12Outside Box4
Passing
68%Possession32%
502Total Passes243
418Accurate Passes162
83%Pass Accuracy67%
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
Discipline
16Fouls16
2Yellow Cards3
2Offsides3

League #332: Zemplín Michalovce 1–2 Podbrezová

Podbrezová beat Zemplín Michalovce 2-1 in League #332 on April 25, 2026.

Goals: R. Galcik (15'), P. Volanakis (47'), R. Siler (54').

Zemplín Michalovce controlled possession (68%) and registered 21 shots to 8.

The match was played at Mestsky futbalovy stadion Michalovce in Michalovce.