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Zeleznicar Inđija vs Borac Šajkaš — Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

Zeleznicar Inđija
Zeleznicar Inđija
FT
5 – 0
HT: 3 – 0
Borac Šajkaš
Borac Šajkaš
4/5/2025Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 20Stadion Leje

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 45+ matches

Zeleznicar Inđija63%
×Draw21%
Borac Šajkaš16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zeleznicar Inđija
2.00
Borac Šajkaš
0.91

Zeleznicar Inđija creates 120% more chances

Season form · 45 home / 60 away

creates per match

Zeleznicar Inđija
2.42
Borac Šajkaš
0.93

allows per match

Zeleznicar Inđija
0.89
Borac Šajkaš
1.57

finishing

Zeleznicar Inđija+0.00on par
Borac Šajkaš+0.00on par

Total goals

55%Over
  • Over55
  • Under45

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zeleznicar Inđija ↓

Borac Šajkaš →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–15%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–110%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–22%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
55%45%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Zeleznicar Inđija or draw
84%
Zeleznicar Inđija or Borac Šajkaš
79%
Draw or Borac Šajkaš
37%

Winning margin

Zeleznicar Inđija wins by 2+
38%
Borac Šajkaš wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Zeleznicar Inđija 1+ goals
86%
Zeleznicar Inđija 2+ goals
59%
Zeleznicar Inđija 3+ goals
32%
Borac Šajkaš 1+ goals
60%
Borac Šajkaš 2+ goals
23%
Borac Šajkaš 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Zeleznicar Inđija (draw refunded)
79%
Borac Šajkaš (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zeleznicar Inđija at home — creates 2.42, concedes 0.89 · 45 matches

Borac Šajkaš away — creates 0.93, concedes 1.57 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zeleznicar Inđija attack 2.42 + Borac Šajkaš defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 2.00

Borac Šajkaš attack 0.93 + Zeleznicar Inđija defence 0.89 → ÷2 → 0.91

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Zeleznicar Inđija scores more
63%
level
21%
Borac Šajkaš scores more
16%

Zeleznicar Inđija at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Zeleznicar Inđija will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina: Zeleznicar Inđija 5–0 Borac Šajkaš

Zeleznicar Inđija beat Borac Šajkaš 5-0 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on April 5, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Leje in Inđija.