Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Zamalek SC vs Tanta SC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Zamalek SC
Zamalek SC
FT
2 – 1
Tanta SC
Tanta SC
7/28/2020Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Borg El Arab Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Zamalek SC68%
×Draw21%
Tanta SC11%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Zamalek SC
1.86
Tanta SC
0.57

Zamalek SC creates 226% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 3 away

creates per match

Zamalek SC
2.40
Tanta SC
0.33

allows per match

Zamalek SC
0.80
Tanta SC
1.33

finishing

Zamalek SC+0.00on par
Tanta SC+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Zamalek SC ↓

Tanta SC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–15%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–19%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–015%
2–19%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–09%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Zamalek SC or draw
89%
Zamalek SC or Tanta SC
79%
Draw or Tanta SC
32%

Winning margin

Zamalek SC wins by 2+
42%
Tanta SC wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Zamalek SC 1+ goals
84%
Zamalek SC 2+ goals
55%
Zamalek SC 3+ goals
28%
Tanta SC 1+ goals
43%
Tanta SC 2+ goals
11%
Tanta SC 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Zamalek SC (draw refunded)
87%
Tanta SC (draw refunded)
13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Zamalek SC at home — creates 2.40, concedes 0.80 · 5 matches

Tanta SC away — creates 0.33, concedes 1.33 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Zamalek SC attack 2.40 + Tanta SC defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.86

Tanta SC attack 0.33 + Zamalek SC defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

Zamalek SC scores more
68%
level
21%
Tanta SC scores more
11%

Zamalek SC at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "Zamalek SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Zamalek SC vs Tanta SC

Zamalek SC beat Tanta SC 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 28, 2020.

The match was played at Borg El Arab Stadium in Borg El Arab.