Scoreo

Youssoufia Berrechid vs Wydad ACBotola Pro 2025

Youssoufia Berrechid
Youssoufia Berrechid
FT
00
HT: 00
Wydad AC
Wydad AC
3/1/2022Botola ProBotola Pro · Round 19Stade Municipal de Berrechid

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 75+ matches

Youssoufia Berrechid29%
×Draw30%
Wydad AC42%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Youssoufia Berrechid
0.93
Wydad AC
1.18

Wydad AC creates 27% more chances

Season form · 75 home / 120 away

creates per match

Youssoufia Berrechid
0.89
Wydad AC
1.32

allows per match

Youssoufia Berrechid
1.03
Wydad AC
0.96

finishing

Youssoufia Berrechid+0.00on par
Wydad AC+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

58%No
  • No58
  • Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Youssoufia Berrechid

Wydad AC
0
1
2
3
4
0
0012%
0114%
028%
033%
041%
1
1011%
1113%
128%
133%
141%
2
205%
216%
224%
231%
240%
3
302%
312%
321%
330%
340%
4
400%
410%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 0–1 (14%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Youssoufia Berrechid or draw
58%
Youssoufia Berrechid or Wydad AC
70%
Draw or Wydad AC
71%

Winning margin

Youssoufia Berrechid wins by 2+
10%
Wydad AC wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Youssoufia Berrechid 1+ goals
61%
Youssoufia Berrechid 2+ goals
24%
Youssoufia Berrechid 3+ goals
7%
Wydad AC 1+ goals
69%
Wydad AC 2+ goals
33%
Wydad AC 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Youssoufia Berrechid (draw refunded)
41%
Wydad AC (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
29%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Youssoufia Berrechid at homecreates 0.89, concedes 1.03 · 75 matches

Wydad AC awaycreates 1.32, concedes 0.96 · 120 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Youssoufia Berrechid attack 0.89 + Wydad AC defence 0.96 → ÷2 → 0.93

Wydad AC attack 1.32 + Youssoufia Berrechid defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Youssoufia Berrechid scores more
29%
level
30%
Wydad AC scores more
42%

Wydad AC at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Wydad AC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Botola Pro: Youssoufia Berrechid 0–0 Wydad AC

Youssoufia Berrechid and Wydad AC drew 0-0 in Botola Pro on March 1, 2022.

The match was played at Stade Municipal de Berrechid in Berrechid.