Young Africans 5–0 Dodoma Jiji: Result & Stats

Young Africans

FT

5 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

Dodoma Jiji

M. Nzengeli 90+11'

Unknown 90+6' (OG)

I. Bacca 69'

D. Abuya 55'

C. Chama 1'

6/22/2025

Ligi kuu Bara · Round 30Azam Complex Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 29+ matches

Young Africans78%

×Draw16%

Dodoma Jiji7%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Young AfricansExpected goals in this matchDodoma Jiji

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.29

0.51

Young Africans

2.29

Dodoma Jiji

0.51

Young Africans creates 349% more chances

Season form · 29 home / 30 away

2.79

creates per match

0.63

0.38

allows per match

1.80

creates per match

Young Africans

2.79

Dodoma Jiji

0.63

allows per match

Young Africans

0.38

Dodoma Jiji

1.80

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Young Africans+0.00on par

Dodoma Jiji+0.00on par

Total goals

Over53
Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

No64
Yes36

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Young Africans ↓

Dodoma Jiji →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–13%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–014%

1–17%

1–22%

1–30%

1–40%

2

2–016%

2–18%

2–22%

2–30%

2–40%

3

3–012%

3–16%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–07%

4–14%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (16%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

77%23%2.5

53%47%3.5

30%70%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Young Africans or draw

93%

Young Africans or Dodoma Jiji

84%

Draw or Dodoma Jiji

22%

Winning margin

Young Africans wins by 2+

54%

Dodoma Jiji wins by 2+

1%

Team goals

Young Africans 1+ goals

90%

Young Africans 2+ goals

66%

Young Africans 3+ goals

40%

Dodoma Jiji 1+ goals

40%

Dodoma Jiji 2+ goals

9%

Dodoma Jiji 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Young Africans (draw refunded)

92%

Dodoma Jiji (draw refunded)

8%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Young Africans at home — creates 2.79, concedes 0.38 · 29 matches

Dodoma Jiji away — creates 0.63, concedes 1.80 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Young Africans attack 2.79 + Dodoma Jiji defence 1.80 → ÷2 → 2.29

Dodoma Jiji attack 0.63 + Young Africans defence 0.38 → ÷2 → 0.51

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 78%?"

Young Africans scores more

78%

level

16%

Dodoma Jiji scores more

7%

Young Africans at 78% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 78% does not mean "Young Africans will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

1'

C. Chama

55'

D. Abuya

69'

I. Bacca

90+6'

Own goal

90+11'

M. Nzengeli

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff