Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans — Ligi kuu Bara 2025

Dodoma Jiji
Dodoma Jiji
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 3
Young Africans
Young Africans
P. Dube 62'
C. Mzize 37', 18'
S. Aziz Ki 29'
12/25/2024Ligi kuu BaraLigi kuu Bara · Round 15Jamhuri Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

Dodoma Jiji20%
×Draw27%
Young Africans53%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Dodoma Jiji
0.76
Young Africans
1.44

Young Africans creates 89% more chances

Season form · 33 home / 35 away

creates per match

Dodoma Jiji
1.03
Young Africans
1.94

allows per match

Dodoma Jiji
0.94
Young Africans
0.49

finishing

Dodoma Jiji+0.00on par
Young Africans+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Dodoma Jiji ↓

Young Africans →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–116%
0–211%
0–36%
0–42%
1
1–08%
1–112%
1–29%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–15%
2–23%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (16%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Dodoma Jiji or draw
47%
Dodoma Jiji or Young Africans
73%
Draw or Young Africans
80%

Winning margin

Dodoma Jiji wins by 2+
6%
Young Africans wins by 2+
27%

Team goals

Dodoma Jiji 1+ goals
53%
Dodoma Jiji 2+ goals
18%
Dodoma Jiji 3+ goals
4%
Young Africans 1+ goals
76%
Young Africans 2+ goals
42%
Young Africans 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Dodoma Jiji (draw refunded)
27%
Young Africans (draw refunded)
73%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Dodoma Jiji at home — creates 1.03, concedes 0.94 · 33 matches

Young Africans away — creates 1.94, concedes 0.49 · 35 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Dodoma Jiji attack 1.03 + Young Africans defence 0.49 → ÷2 → 0.76

Young Africans attack 1.94 + Dodoma Jiji defence 0.94 → ÷2 → 1.44

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 53%?"

Dodoma Jiji scores more
20%
level
27%
Young Africans scores more
53%

Young Africans at 53% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 53% does not mean "Young Africans will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

18'
C. Mzize↳ P. Zouzoua
29'
S. Aziz Ki
37'
C. Mzize↳ M. Yahya
62'
P. Dube↳ S. Aziz Ki

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Dodoma Jiji vs Young Africans

Young Africans beat Dodoma Jiji 4-0 in Ligi kuu Bara on December 25, 2024.

Goals: C. Mzize (18', 37'), S. Aziz Ki (29'), P. Dube (62').

The match was played at Jamhuri Stadium in Dodoma.