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Yantra 2019 vs Fratria — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Yantra 2019
Yantra 2019
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Fratria
Fratria
M. Angelov 7'
T. Korablin 87'
7/10/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Yantra 201936%
×Draw27%
Fratria37%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Yantra 2019
1.25
Fratria
1.27

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 9 home / 5 away

creates per match

Yantra 2019
0.89
Fratria
1.20

allows per match

Yantra 2019
1.33
Fratria
1.60

finishing

Yantra 2019+0.00on par
Fratria+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Under
  • Under54
  • Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Yantra 2019 ↓

Fratria →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–08%
0–110%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–18%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
46%54%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

Yantra 2019 or draw
63%
Yantra 2019 or Fratria
73%
Draw or Fratria
64%

Winning margin

Yantra 2019 wins by 2+
16%
Fratria wins by 2+
16%

Team goals

Yantra 2019 1+ goals
71%
Yantra 2019 2+ goals
36%
Yantra 2019 3+ goals
13%
Fratria 1+ goals
72%
Fratria 2+ goals
36%
Fratria 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Yantra 2019 (draw refunded)
49%
Fratria (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Yantra 2019 at home — creates 0.89, concedes 1.33 · 9 matches

Fratria away — creates 1.20, concedes 1.60 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Yantra 2019 attack 0.89 + Fratria defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.25

Fratria attack 1.20 + Yantra 2019 defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.27

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 37%?"

Yantra 2019 scores more
36%
level
27%
Fratria scores more
37%

Fratria at 37% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 37% does not mean "Fratria will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

7'
M. Angelov
69'
87'
T. Korablin

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Yantra 2019 vs Fratria

Yantra 2019 and Fratria drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 10, 2026.

Goals: M. Angelov (7'), T. Korablin (87').