Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Yantra 2019 vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas — Second League 2018

Yantra 2019
Yantra 2019
Preview
15:00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
5/15/2027Second LeagueSecond League · Round 32Stadion Hristo Botev
45%
Yantra 2019
model favours
45%28%27%

Yantra 2019 score first in only 20% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
59%
under 2.5 goals
46%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 33+ matches

Yantra 201945%
×Draw28%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Yantra 2019
1.35
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.97

Yantra 2019 creates 39% more chances

Season form · 104 home / 33 away

creates per match

Yantra 2019
1.32
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.94

allows per match

Yantra 2019
1.01
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.39

finishing

Yantra 2019+0.00on par
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Yantra 2019 ↓

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–110%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
41%59%3.5
20%80%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Yantra 2019 or draw
73%
Yantra 2019 or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
72%
Draw or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
55%

Winning margin

Yantra 2019 wins by 2+
21%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Yantra 2019 1+ goals
74%
Yantra 2019 2+ goals
39%
Yantra 2019 3+ goals
15%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 1+ goals
62%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 2+ goals
25%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Yantra 2019 (draw refunded)
63%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Yantra 2019 at home — creates 1.32, concedes 1.01 · 104 matches

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas away — creates 0.94, concedes 1.39 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Yantra 2019 attack 1.32 + Chernomorets 1919 Burgas defence 1.39 → ÷2 → 1.35

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas attack 0.94 + Yantra 2019 defence 1.01 → ÷2 → 0.97

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Yantra 2019 scores more
45%
level
28%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas scores more
27%

Yantra 2019 at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Yantra 2019 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Both teams score in 80% of Yantra 2019’s matches
  • 70% of Yantra 2019’s matches stay under 2.5 goals
  • Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win just 16% against the top half (vs 44% against the bottom)
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
2019
DLWLL
Burgas
LLLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Yantra 2019 face Chernomorets 1919 Burgas (Second League)

Second League returns with Yantra 2019 hosting Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. Match starts May 15, 2027. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Yantra 2019 host Chernomorets 1919 Burgas at Stadion Hristo Botev.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.