Wydad AC 3–0 JS Kabylie: Result & Stats

Wydad AC

FT

3 – 0

HT: 1 – 0

JS Kabylie

Z. El Moutaraji 87'

B. Sambou 51', 38'

4/1/2023

CAF Champions League · Group A - 6Stade Mohamed V

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 16+ matches

Wydad AC69%

×Draw20%

JS Kabylie11%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 582,215 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Wydad ACExpected goals in this matchJS Kabylie

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.92

0.59

Wydad AC

1.92

JS Kabylie

0.59

Wydad AC creates 225% more chances

Season form · 28 home / 16 away

2.14

creates per match

0.75

0.43

allows per match

1.69

creates per match

Wydad AC

2.14

JS Kabylie

0.75

allows per match

Wydad AC

0.43

JS Kabylie

1.69

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Wydad AC+0.00on par

JS Kabylie+0.00on par

Total goals

Under54
Over46

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No62
Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wydad AC ↓

JS Kabylie →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–15%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–016%

1–19%

1–23%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–015%

2–19%

2–23%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–010%

3–16%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–05%

4–13%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

71%29%2.5

46%54%3.5

24%76%4.5

11%89%

Double chance

Wydad AC or draw

89%

Wydad AC or JS Kabylie

80%

Draw or JS Kabylie

31%

Winning margin

Wydad AC wins by 2+

43%

JS Kabylie wins by 2+

2%

Team goals

Wydad AC 1+ goals

85%

Wydad AC 2+ goals

57%

Wydad AC 3+ goals

30%

JS Kabylie 1+ goals

45%

JS Kabylie 2+ goals

12%

JS Kabylie 3+ goals

2%

Draw no bet

Wydad AC (draw refunded)

87%

JS Kabylie (draw refunded)

13%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wydad AC at home — creates 2.14, concedes 0.43 · 28 matches

JS Kabylie away — creates 0.75, concedes 1.69 · 16 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wydad AC attack 2.14 + JS Kabylie defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.92

JS Kabylie attack 0.75 + Wydad AC defence 0.43 → ÷2 → 0.59

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 69%?"

Wydad AC scores more

69%

level

20%

JS Kabylie scores more

11%

Wydad AC at 69% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 69% does not mean "Wydad AC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

20

B. Sambou

Wydad AC · F

8.5

Match Events

21'

Yahya Jabrane

38'

B. Sambou↳ Y. Attiat-Allah

45+2'

Redouane Zerdoum

51'

B. Sambou↳ J. Daoudi

53'

Oussama Guettal

58'

A. Haimoud← A. El Hassouni

58'

R. Jaadi← J. Daoudi

59'

N. Ould Hamou← M. Boumechra

59'

A. Redjem← R. Zerdoum

66'

Bouly Junior Sambou

74'

M. Ounajem← Y. Jabrane

74'

Muaid El Lafi← S. Bouhra

74'

M. Alili← J. Oukaci

75'

F. Nechat Djabri← Y. Guenina

77'

S. Matallah← S. Boukhanchouche

80'

Z. El Moutaraji← B. Sambou

82'

Yahia Attiyat Allah

86'

Sid Ahmed Matallah

87'

Z. El Moutaraji

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

WydadJS

Overview

65%Possession35%

13Total Shots5

3Corners3

19Fouls15

Shots

13Total Shots5

6On Target4

6Off Target1

1Blocked0

7Inside Box3

6Outside Box2

Passing

65%Possession35%

609Total Passes331

536Accurate Passes266

88%Pass Accuracy80%

Goalkeeping

4Saves3

Discipline

19Fouls15

3Yellow Cards3

0Offsides1

Match Recap: Wydad AC vs JS Kabylie

Wydad AC beat JS Kabylie 3-0 in CAF Champions League on April 1, 2023.

Goals: B. Sambou (38', 51'), Z. El Moutaraji (87').

Wydad AC controlled possession (65%) and registered 13 shots to 5.

The match was played at Stade Mohamed V in Casablanca.

Wydad AC vs JS Kabylie — CAF Champions League 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Wydad AC vs JS Kabylie