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Wycombe vs Stockport County — League One 2018

Wycombe
Wycombe
Preview
15:00
Stockport County
Stockport County
2/6/2027League OneLeague One · Round 29Adams Park
50%
Wycombe
model favours
50%24%26%

Stockport County score first in only 20% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
56%
over 2.5 goals
57%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 11+ matches

Wycombe50%
×Draw24%
Stockport County26%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wycombe
1.73
Stockport County
1.19

Wycombe creates 45% more chances

Season form · 11 home / 15 away

creates per match

Wycombe
1.89
Stockport County
1.21

allows per match

Wycombe
1.17
Stockport County
1.57

finishing

Wycombe-0.07on par
Stockport County-0.08on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

57%Yes
  • Yes57
  • No43

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wycombe ↓

Stockport County →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–09%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Wycombe or draw
74%
Wycombe or Stockport County
76%
Draw or Stockport County
50%

Winning margin

Wycombe wins by 2+
27%
Stockport County wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Wycombe 1+ goals
82%
Wycombe 2+ goals
52%
Wycombe 3+ goals
25%
Stockport County 1+ goals
70%
Stockport County 2+ goals
33%
Stockport County 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Wycombe (draw refunded)
65%
Stockport County (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
46%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wycombe at home — creates 1.89, concedes 1.17 · 11 matches

Stockport County away — creates 1.21, concedes 1.57 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wycombe attack 1.89 + Stockport County defence 1.57 → ÷2 → 1.73

Stockport County attack 1.21 + Wycombe defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Wycombe scores more
50%
level
24%
Stockport County scores more
26%

Wycombe at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Wycombe will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 80% of Stockport County’s matches go over 2.5 goals
  • Stockport County have won 3 of the last 4 meetings
  • Both teams score in 70% of Stockport County’s matches
  • Wycombe win just 26% against the top half (vs 57% against the bottom)
  • Wycombe fall short of their xG (1.4 vs 1.8 expected)
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged 3.8 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Wycombe
Attack-heavy
Stockport County
Balanced
48%Possession55%
67%Pass accuracy76%
12.3Shots12.7
1.80xGBiggest gap1.35
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
WycombeStockport County

Head-to-head

4 previous meetings

1
Wycombe
0
Draws
3
Stockport County
Avg goals: 3.8BTTS: 50%
0–31–21–35–0

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
Wycombe
LLWWL
County
WLWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Wycombe host Stockport County

February 6, 2027: Wycombe take on Stockport County in League One. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Wycombe host Stockport County at Adams Park.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.