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Wuxi Wugou vs Hebei Kungfu — League One 2026

Wuxi Wugou
Wuxi Wugou
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Hebei Kungfu
Hebei Kungfu
4/26/2026League OneLeague One · Round 6Wuxi Sport Center

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 36+ matches

Wuxi Wugou31%
×Draw29%
Hebei Kungfu40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wuxi Wugou
1.03
Hebei Kungfu
1.21

Hebei Kungfu creates 17% more chances

Season form · 36 home / 69 away

creates per match

Wuxi Wugou
1.03
Hebei Kungfu
1.14

allows per match

Wuxi Wugou
1.28
Hebei Kungfu
1.03

finishing

Wuxi Wugou+0.00on par
Hebei Kungfu+0.00on par

Total goals

61%Under
  • Under61
  • Over39

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

55%No
  • No55
  • Yes45

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wuxi Wugou ↓

Hebei Kungfu →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–113%
0–28%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
39%61%3.5
19%81%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Wuxi Wugou or draw
60%
Wuxi Wugou or Hebei Kungfu
71%
Draw or Hebei Kungfu
69%

Winning margin

Wuxi Wugou wins by 2+
12%
Hebei Kungfu wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Wuxi Wugou 1+ goals
64%
Wuxi Wugou 2+ goals
28%
Wuxi Wugou 3+ goals
9%
Hebei Kungfu 1+ goals
70%
Hebei Kungfu 2+ goals
34%
Hebei Kungfu 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Wuxi Wugou (draw refunded)
44%
Hebei Kungfu (draw refunded)
56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
32%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wuxi Wugou at home — creates 1.03, concedes 1.28 · 36 matches

Hebei Kungfu away — creates 1.14, concedes 1.03 · 69 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wuxi Wugou attack 1.03 + Hebei Kungfu defence 1.03 → ÷2 → 1.03

Hebei Kungfu attack 1.14 + Wuxi Wugou defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Wuxi Wugou scores more
31%
level
29%
Hebei Kungfu scores more
40%

Hebei Kungfu at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Hebei Kungfu will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

League One: Wuxi Wugou 0–0 Hebei Kungfu

Wuxi Wugou and Hebei Kungfu drew 0-0 in League One on April 26, 2026.

The match was played at Wuxi Sport Center in Wuxi.