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Wolves vs Sheffield Utd — Championship 2025

Wolves
Wolves
Preview
15:00
Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd
2/13/2027ChampionshipChampionship · Round 31Molineux Stadium
39%
Wolves
model favours
39%28%32%

Wolves score first in only 15% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
60%
under 2.5 goals
47%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Wolves39%
×Draw28%
Sheffield Utd32%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wolves
1.22
Sheffield Utd
1.08

Wolves creates 13% more chances

Season form · 13 home / 25 away

creates per match

Wolves
1.08
Sheffield Utd
1.32

allows per match

Wolves
0.85
Sheffield Utd
1.36

finishing

Wolves+0.00on par
Sheffield Utd+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Under
  • Under60
  • Over40

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wolves ↓

Sheffield Utd →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–111%
0–26%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–18%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
40%60%3.5
20%80%4.5
8%92%

Double chance

Wolves or draw
68%
Wolves or Sheffield Utd
72%
Draw or Sheffield Utd
61%

Winning margin

Wolves wins by 2+
17%
Sheffield Utd wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Wolves 1+ goals
70%
Wolves 2+ goals
34%
Wolves 3+ goals
12%
Sheffield Utd 1+ goals
66%
Sheffield Utd 2+ goals
29%
Sheffield Utd 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Wolves (draw refunded)
55%
Sheffield Utd (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wolves at home — creates 1.08, concedes 0.85 · 13 matches

Sheffield Utd away — creates 1.32, concedes 1.36 · 25 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wolves attack 1.08 + Sheffield Utd defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.22

Sheffield Utd attack 1.32 + Wolves defence 0.85 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Wolves scores more
39%
level
28%
Sheffield Utd scores more
32%

Wolves at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Wolves will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • 38% of Wolves’s goals come after the 75th minute
  • Their last 4 meetings averaged just 1.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Wolves
DDLDL
Utd
DWWLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Wolves vs Sheffield Utd — Match Preview

Wolves face Sheffield Utd on February 13, 2027 in this Championship fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Wolves host Sheffield Utd at Molineux Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.