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Wisla Plock vs Znicz Pruszków — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Wisla Plock
Wisla Plock
CANC
13:00
Znicz Pruszków
Znicz Pruszków
1/17/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5TBC

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Wisla Plock58%
×Draw22%
Znicz Pruszków20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wisla Plock
1.90
Znicz Pruszków
1.02

Wisla Plock creates 86% more chances

Season form · 24 home / 8 away

creates per match

Wisla Plock
2.04
Znicz Pruszków
0.88

allows per match

Wisla Plock
1.17
Znicz Pruszków
1.75

finishing

Wisla Plock+0.00on par
Znicz Pruszków+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wisla Plock ↓

Znicz Pruszków →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–16%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–110%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–110%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (10%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
33%67%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Wisla Plock or draw
80%
Wisla Plock or Znicz Pruszków
78%
Draw or Znicz Pruszków
42%

Winning margin

Wisla Plock wins by 2+
34%
Znicz Pruszków wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Wisla Plock 1+ goals
85%
Wisla Plock 2+ goals
56%
Wisla Plock 3+ goals
29%
Znicz Pruszków 1+ goals
64%
Znicz Pruszków 2+ goals
27%
Znicz Pruszków 3+ goals
8%

Draw no bet

Wisla Plock (draw refunded)
74%
Znicz Pruszków (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wisla Plock at home — creates 2.04, concedes 1.17 · 24 matches

Znicz Pruszków away — creates 0.88, concedes 1.75 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wisla Plock attack 2.04 + Znicz Pruszków defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.90

Znicz Pruszków attack 0.88 + Wisla Plock defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.02

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Wisla Plock scores more
58%
level
22%
Znicz Pruszków scores more
20%

Wisla Plock at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Wisla Plock will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Wisla Plock host Znicz Pruszków

January 17, 2024: Wisla Plock take on Znicz Pruszków in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Wisla Plock host Znicz Pruszków at TBC.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.