Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Wiener SC vs TWL Elektra — Regionalliga - Ost 2018

Wiener SC
Wiener SC
FT
4 – 0
HT: 1 – 0
TWL Elektra
TWL Elektra
4/24/2026Regionalliga - OstRegionalliga - Ost · Ost - 28Sportplatz Trainingszentrum

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 73+ matches

Wiener SC54%
×Draw22%
TWL Elektra24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wiener SC
1.96
TWL Elektra
1.23

Wiener SC creates 59% more chances

Season form · 104 home / 73 away

creates per match

Wiener SC
1.88
TWL Elektra
1.23

allows per match

Wiener SC
1.23
TWL Elektra
2.04

finishing

Wiener SC+0.00on par
TWL Elektra+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Over
  • Over62
  • Under38

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wiener SC ↓

TWL Elektra →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
83%17%2.5
62%38%3.5
39%61%4.5
21%79%

Double chance

Wiener SC or draw
76%
Wiener SC or TWL Elektra
78%
Draw or TWL Elektra
46%

Winning margin

Wiener SC wins by 2+
31%
TWL Elektra wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Wiener SC 1+ goals
86%
Wiener SC 2+ goals
58%
Wiener SC 3+ goals
31%
TWL Elektra 1+ goals
71%
TWL Elektra 2+ goals
35%
TWL Elektra 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Wiener SC (draw refunded)
69%
TWL Elektra (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wiener SC at home — creates 1.88, concedes 1.23 · 104 matches

TWL Elektra away — creates 1.23, concedes 2.04 · 73 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wiener SC attack 1.88 + TWL Elektra defence 2.04 → ÷2 → 1.96

TWL Elektra attack 1.23 + Wiener SC defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.23

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Wiener SC scores more
54%
level
22%
TWL Elektra scores more
24%

Wiener SC at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Wiener SC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Regionalliga - Ost: Wiener SC 4–0 TWL Elektra

Wiener SC beat TWL Elektra 4-0 in Regionalliga - Ost on April 24, 2026.

The match was played at Sportplatz Trainingszentrum in Wien.