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Widzew Łódź vs Puszcza Niepołomice — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Widzew Łódź
Widzew Łódź
Preview
15:00
Puszcza Niepołomice
Puszcza Niepołomice
7/19/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies
Big match
68%
Widzew Łódź
model favours
68%17%16%

Widzew Łódź score first in only 16% of matches

brightest fact of this match

2–1
likely score
76%
over 2.5 goals
68%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Widzew Łódź68%
×Draw17%
Puszcza Niepołomice16%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Widzew Łódź
2.76
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.29

Widzew Łódź creates 114% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 13 away

creates per match

Widzew Łódź
3.15
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.23

allows per match

Widzew Łódź
1.35
Puszcza Niepołomice
2.38

finishing

Widzew Łódź+0.00on par
Puszcza Niepołomice+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Widzew Łódź ↓

Puszcza Niepołomice →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–12%
0–21%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–16%
1–24%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–16%
4–24%
4–32%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Widzew Łódź or draw
84%
Widzew Łódź or Puszcza Niepołomice
83%
Draw or Puszcza Niepołomice
32%

Winning margin

Widzew Łódź wins by 2+
47%
Puszcza Niepołomice wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Widzew Łódź 1+ goals
94%
Widzew Łódź 2+ goals
76%
Widzew Łódź 3+ goals
51%
Puszcza Niepołomice 1+ goals
72%
Puszcza Niepołomice 2+ goals
37%
Puszcza Niepołomice 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Widzew Łódź (draw refunded)
81%
Puszcza Niepołomice (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Widzew Łódź at home — creates 3.15, concedes 1.35 · 20 matches

Puszcza Niepołomice away — creates 1.23, concedes 2.38 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Widzew Łódź attack 3.15 + Puszcza Niepołomice defence 2.38 → ÷2 → 2.76

Puszcza Niepołomice attack 1.23 + Widzew Łódź defence 1.35 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 68%?"

Widzew Łódź scores more
68%
level
17%
Puszcza Niepołomice scores more
16%

Widzew Łódź at 68% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 68% does not mean "Widzew Łódź will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Widzew Łódź are unbeaten in 5 straight

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Łódź
W
Niepołomice
WLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Preview: Widzew Łódź host Puszcza Niepołomice

July 19, 2026: Widzew Łódź take on Puszcza Niepołomice in Friendlies Clubs. Track every goal, card, and substitution live on Scoreo as the action unfolds.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.