Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Widad Témara vs Youssoufia Berrechid — Botola 2 2025

Widad Témara
Widad Témara
FT
0 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Youssoufia Berrechid
Youssoufia Berrechid
10/15/2022Botola 2Botola 2 · Round 6Stade Municipal de Témara

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Widad Témara39%
×Draw30%
Youssoufia Berrechid30%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Widad Témara
1.10
Youssoufia Berrechid
0.92

Widad Témara creates 20% more chances

Season form · 75 home / 30 away

creates per match

Widad Témara
0.97
Youssoufia Berrechid
0.87

allows per match

Widad Témara
0.97
Youssoufia Berrechid
1.23

finishing

Widad Témara+0.00on par
Youssoufia Berrechid+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Widad Témara ↓

Youssoufia Berrechid →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–112%
0–26%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–08%
2–17%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
15%85%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Widad Témara or draw
70%
Widad Témara or Youssoufia Berrechid
70%
Draw or Youssoufia Berrechid
61%

Winning margin

Widad Témara wins by 2+
16%
Youssoufia Berrechid wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Widad Témara 1+ goals
67%
Widad Témara 2+ goals
30%
Widad Témara 3+ goals
10%
Youssoufia Berrechid 1+ goals
60%
Youssoufia Berrechid 2+ goals
23%
Youssoufia Berrechid 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Widad Témara (draw refunded)
57%
Youssoufia Berrechid (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Widad Témara at home — creates 0.97, concedes 0.97 · 75 matches

Youssoufia Berrechid away — creates 0.87, concedes 1.23 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Widad Témara attack 0.97 + Youssoufia Berrechid defence 1.23 → ÷2 → 1.10

Youssoufia Berrechid attack 0.87 + Widad Témara defence 0.97 → ÷2 → 0.92

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Widad Témara scores more
39%
level
30%
Youssoufia Berrechid scores more
30%

Widad Témara at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Widad Témara will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Botola 2: Widad Témara 0–1 Youssoufia Berrechid

Youssoufia Berrechid beat Widad Témara 1-0 in Botola 2 on October 15, 2022.

The match was played at Stade Municipal de Témara in Témara.