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Weymouth Wales vs Pride of Gall Hill — Premier League 2026

Weymouth Wales
Weymouth Wales
FT
1 – 0
Pride of Gall Hill
Pride of Gall Hill
6/13/2014Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 1Dover Playing Fields (Dover)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Weymouth Wales76%
×Draw16%
Pride of Gall Hill8%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Weymouth Wales
2.26
Pride of Gall Hill
0.57

Weymouth Wales creates 296% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 11 away

creates per match

Weymouth Wales
2.70
Pride of Gall Hill
0.64

allows per match

Weymouth Wales
0.50
Pride of Gall Hill
1.82

finishing

Weymouth Wales+0.00on par
Pride of Gall Hill+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Over
  • Over53
  • Under47

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%No
  • No61
  • Yes39

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Weymouth Wales ↓

Pride of Gall Hill →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–13%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–013%
1–18%
1–22%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–015%
2–19%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–011%
3–17%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–14%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (15%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
77%23%2.5
53%47%3.5
31%69%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Weymouth Wales or draw
92%
Weymouth Wales or Pride of Gall Hill
84%
Draw or Pride of Gall Hill
24%

Winning margin

Weymouth Wales wins by 2+
51%
Pride of Gall Hill wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Weymouth Wales 1+ goals
89%
Weymouth Wales 2+ goals
66%
Weymouth Wales 3+ goals
39%
Pride of Gall Hill 1+ goals
43%
Pride of Gall Hill 2+ goals
11%
Pride of Gall Hill 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Weymouth Wales (draw refunded)
91%
Pride of Gall Hill (draw refunded)
9%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Weymouth Wales at home — creates 2.70, concedes 0.50 · 10 matches

Pride of Gall Hill away — creates 0.64, concedes 1.82 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Weymouth Wales attack 2.70 + Pride of Gall Hill defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 2.26

Pride of Gall Hill attack 0.64 + Weymouth Wales defence 0.50 → ÷2 → 0.57

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 76%?"

Weymouth Wales scores more
76%
level
16%
Pride of Gall Hill scores more
8%

Weymouth Wales at 76% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 76% does not mean "Weymouth Wales will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Weymouth Wales 1–0 Pride of Gall Hill

Weymouth Wales beat Pride of Gall Hill 1-0 in Premier League on June 13, 2014.

The match was played at Dover Playing Fields (Dover).