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Wexford Youths W vs Linfield W — All-Island Cup - Women 2026

Wexford Youths W
Wexford Youths W
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Linfield W
Linfield W
5/9/2026All-Island Cup - WomenAll-Island Cup - Women · Group Stage - 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Wexford Youths W61%
×Draw18%
Linfield W21%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wexford Youths W
2.56
Linfield W
1.47

Wexford Youths W creates 74% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 6 away

creates per match

Wexford Youths W
2.80
Linfield W
1.33

allows per match

Wexford Youths W
1.60
Linfield W
2.33

finishing

Wexford Youths W+0.00on par
Linfield W+0.00on par

Total goals

76%Over
  • Over76
  • Under24

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

71%Yes
  • Yes71
  • No29

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wexford Youths W ↓

Linfield W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–05%
1–17%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–15%
4–23%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
91%9%2.5
76%24%3.5
57%43%4.5
37%63%

Double chance

Wexford Youths W or draw
79%
Wexford Youths W or Linfield W
82%
Draw or Linfield W
39%

Winning margin

Wexford Youths W wins by 2+
40%
Linfield W wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Wexford Youths W 1+ goals
92%
Wexford Youths W 2+ goals
72%
Wexford Youths W 3+ goals
46%
Linfield W 1+ goals
77%
Linfield W 2+ goals
43%
Linfield W 3+ goals
18%

Draw no bet

Wexford Youths W (draw refunded)
74%
Linfield W (draw refunded)
26%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
64%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wexford Youths W at home — creates 2.80, concedes 1.60 · 5 matches

Linfield W away — creates 1.33, concedes 2.33 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wexford Youths W attack 2.80 + Linfield W defence 2.33 → ÷2 → 2.56

Linfield W attack 1.33 + Wexford Youths W defence 1.60 → ÷2 → 1.47

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 61%?"

Wexford Youths W scores more
61%
level
18%
Linfield W scores more
21%

Wexford Youths W at 61% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 61% does not mean "Wexford Youths W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Wexford Youths W vs Linfield W

Wexford Youths W and Linfield W drew 1-1 in All-Island Cup - Women on May 9, 2026.