Weston 2–2 Fort Lauderdale United: Result & Stats

Weston

2 – 2

HT: 2 – 2

Fort Lauderdale United

6/25/2025

USL League Two · Southern Conference - 15Cypress Bay High School

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Weston48%

×Draw22%

Fort Lauderdale United30%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

WestonExpected goals in this matchFort Lauderdale United

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.91

1.46

Weston

1.91

Fort Lauderdale United

1.46

Weston creates 31% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 8 away

2.43

creates per match

1.50

1.43

allows per match

1.38

creates per match

Weston

2.43

Fort Lauderdale United

1.50

allows per match

Weston

1.43

Fort Lauderdale United

1.38

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Weston+0.00on par

Fort Lauderdale United+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes65
No35

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Weston ↓

Fort Lauderdale United →

0–03%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

43%57%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Weston or draw

70%

Weston or Fort Lauderdale United

78%

Draw or Fort Lauderdale United

52%

Winning margin

Weston wins by 2+

27%

Fort Lauderdale United wins by 2+

13%

Team goals

Weston 1+ goals

85%

Weston 2+ goals

57%

Weston 3+ goals

30%

Fort Lauderdale United 1+ goals

77%

Fort Lauderdale United 2+ goals

43%

Fort Lauderdale United 3+ goals

18%

Draw no bet

Weston (draw refunded)

62%

Fort Lauderdale United (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

56%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Weston at home — creates 2.43, concedes 1.43 · 7 matches

Fort Lauderdale United away — creates 1.50, concedes 1.38 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Weston attack 2.43 + Fort Lauderdale United defence 1.38 → ÷2 → 1.91

Fort Lauderdale United attack 1.50 + Weston defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.46

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 48%?"

Weston scores more

48%

level

22%

Fort Lauderdale United scores more

30%

Weston at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Weston will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

USL League Two: Weston 2–2 Fort Lauderdale United

Weston and Fort Lauderdale United drew 2-2 in USL League Two on June 25, 2025.

The match was played at Cypress Bay High School in Weston, Florida.

Weston vs Fort Lauderdale United — USL League Two 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

USL League Two: Weston 2–2 Fort Lauderdale United