Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Marconi Stallions — New South Wales NPL 2026

Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
FT
0 – 4
HT: 0 – 1
Marconi Stallions
Marconi Stallions
4/1/2023New South Wales NPLNew South Wales NPL · Round 9Wanderers Football Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Western Sydney Wanderers U2128%
×Draw22%
Marconi Stallions50%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1.36
Marconi Stallions
1.90

Marconi Stallions creates 40% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 95 away

creates per match

Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1.73
Marconi Stallions
1.67

allows per match

Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2.13
Marconi Stallions
1.00

finishing

Western Sydney Wanderers U21+0.00on par
Marconi Stallions+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 ↓

Marconi Stallions →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–17%
0–27%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–05%
1–110%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–26%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 or draw
50%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 or Marconi Stallions
78%
Draw or Marconi Stallions
72%

Winning margin

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 wins by 2+
12%
Marconi Stallions wins by 2+
28%

Team goals

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1+ goals
74%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 2+ goals
39%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 3+ goals
16%
Marconi Stallions 1+ goals
85%
Marconi Stallions 2+ goals
56%
Marconi Stallions 3+ goals
29%

Draw no bet

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 (draw refunded)
36%
Marconi Stallions (draw refunded)
64%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 at home — creates 1.73, concedes 2.13 · 15 matches

Marconi Stallions away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.00 · 95 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 attack 1.73 + Marconi Stallions defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.36

Marconi Stallions attack 1.67 + Western Sydney Wanderers U21 defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 1.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 scores more
28%
level
22%
Marconi Stallions scores more
50%

Marconi Stallions at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "Marconi Stallions will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

New South Wales NPL: Western Sydney Wanderers U21 0–4 Marconi Stallions

Marconi Stallions beat Western Sydney Wanderers U21 4-0 in New South Wales NPL on April 1, 2023.

The match was played at Wanderers Football Park in Sydney.