Scoreo

West Ham vs HuddersfieldPremier League 2026

West Ham
West Ham
FT
43
HT: 12
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
J. Hernández 90+1', 84'
A. Ogbonna 75'
M. Noble 15' (pen)
K. Ahearne-Grant 65', 30'
J. Bacuna 17'
3/16/2019Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 31London Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 38+ matches

West Ham54%
×Draw24%
Huddersfield22%
Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

West Ham
1.75
Huddersfield
1.03

West Ham creates 70% more chances

Season form · 202 home / 38 away

creates per match

West Ham
1.46
Huddersfield
0.63

allows per match

West Ham
1.44
Huddersfield
2.05

finishing

West Ham+0.00on par
Huddersfield+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

West Ham

Huddersfield
0
1
2
3
4
0
006%
016%
023%
031%
040%
1
1011%
1111%
126%
132%
141%
2
2010%
2110%
225%
232%
240%
3
306%
316%
323%
331%
340%
4
402%
413%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–0 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

West Ham or draw
78%
West Ham or Huddersfield
76%
Draw or Huddersfield
46%

Winning margin

West Ham wins by 2+
30%
Huddersfield wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

West Ham 1+ goals
83%
West Ham 2+ goals
52%
West Ham 3+ goals
25%
Huddersfield 1+ goals
64%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
28%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

West Ham (draw refunded)
71%
Huddersfield (draw refunded)
29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
42%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

West Ham at homecreates 1.46, concedes 1.44 · 202 matches

Huddersfield awaycreates 0.63, concedes 2.05 · 38 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

West Ham attack 1.46 + Huddersfield defence 2.05 → ÷2 → 1.75

Huddersfield attack 0.63 + West Ham defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.03

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

West Ham scores more
54%
level
24%
Huddersfield scores more
22%

West Ham at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "West Ham will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17
J. HernándezWest HamWest Ham · F
8.2

Possession

64%West

Shots

16West

Pass accuracy

54%West

Statistics

WestHuddersfield
Overview
64%Possession36%
16Total Shots15
5Corners8
7Fouls15
Shots
16Total Shots15
5On Target5
5Off Target6
6Blocked4
10Inside Box9
6Outside Box6
Passing
64%Possession36%
605Total Passes327
512Accurate Passes233
85%Pass Accuracy71%
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
Discipline
7Fouls15
0Yellow Cards2
1Offsides1

Match Recap: West Ham vs Huddersfield

West Ham beat Huddersfield 4-3 in Premier League on March 16, 2019.

Goals: M. Noble (15' pen), J. Bacuna (17'), K. Ahearne-Grant (30', 65'), A. Ogbonna (75'), J. Hernández (84', 90+1').

West Ham controlled possession (64%) and registered 16 shots to 15.

The match was played at London Stadium in London.