Scoreo

West Brom vs HuddersfieldChampionship 2024

West Brom
West Brom
FT
22
HT: 01
Huddersfield
Huddersfield
A. Carroll 85'
K. Ahearne-Grant 84' (pen)
D. Ward 74', 24'
3/11/2022ChampionshipChampionship · Round 37The Hawthorns

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

West Brom42%
×Draw27%
Huddersfield31%
Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

West Brom
1.39
Huddersfield
1.15

West Brom creates 21% more chances

Season form · 57 home / 9 away

creates per match

West Brom
1.44
Huddersfield
1.33

allows per match

West Brom
0.96
Huddersfield
1.33

finishing

West Brom+0.00on par
Huddersfield+0.00on par

Total goals

53%Under
  • Under53
  • Over47

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

51%Yes
  • Yes51
  • No49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

West Brom

Huddersfield
0
1
2
3
4
0
008%
019%
025%
032%
041%
1
1011%
1113%
127%
133%
141%
2
208%
219%
225%
232%
241%
3
304%
314%
322%
331%
340%
4
401%
411%
421%
430%
440%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
92%8%1.5
72%28%2.5
47%53%3.5
25%75%4.5
11%89%

Double chance

West Brom or draw
69%
West Brom or Huddersfield
73%
Draw or Huddersfield
58%

Winning margin

West Brom wins by 2+
20%
Huddersfield wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

West Brom 1+ goals
75%
West Brom 2+ goals
40%
West Brom 3+ goals
16%
Huddersfield 1+ goals
68%
Huddersfield 2+ goals
32%
Huddersfield 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

West Brom (draw refunded)
58%
Huddersfield (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
39%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

West Brom at homecreates 1.44, concedes 0.96 · 57 matches

Huddersfield awaycreates 1.33, concedes 1.33 · 9 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

West Brom attack 1.44 + Huddersfield defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.39

Huddersfield attack 1.33 + West Brom defence 0.96 → ÷2 → 1.15

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

West Brom scores more
42%
level
27%
Huddersfield scores more
31%

West Brom at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "West Brom will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

25
D. WardHuddersfieldHuddersfield · F
8.6

Possession

48%West

Shots

13West

Pass accuracy

50%West

Statistics

WestHuddersfield
Overview
48%Possession52%
13Total Shots15
6Corners7
12Fouls6
Shots
13Total Shots15
4On Target9
7Off Target5
2Blocked1
11Inside Box11
2Outside Box4
Passing
48%Possession52%
399Total Passes437
309Accurate Passes342
77%Pass Accuracy78%
Goalkeeping
6Saves2
Discipline
12Fouls6
3Yellow Cards2
2Offsides1

Championship: West Brom 2–2 Huddersfield

West Brom and Huddersfield drew 2-2 in Championship on March 11, 2022.

Goals: D. Ward (24', 74'), K. Ahearne-Grant (84' pen), A. Carroll (85').

Huddersfield controlled possession (52%) and registered 15 shots to 13.

The match was played at The Hawthorns in West Bromwich.