Huddersfield 2–2 West Brom: Result & Stats

Huddersfield

FT

2 – 2

HT: 2 – 1

West Brom

F. Anjorin 30', 11'

J. Wallace 57', 37'

8/27/2022

Championship · Round 6John Smith's Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 118+ matches

Huddersfield38%

×Draw28%

West Brom35%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

HuddersfieldExpected goals in this matchWest Brom

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.24

1.17

Huddersfield

1.24

West Brom

1.17

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 118 home / 163 away

1.22

creates per match

1.18

1.17

allows per match

1.26

creates per match

Huddersfield

1.22

West Brom

1.18

allows per match

Huddersfield

1.17

West Brom

1.26

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Huddersfield+0.00on par

West Brom+0.00on par

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Huddersfield ↓

West Brom →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–111%

0–26%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Huddersfield or draw

65%

Huddersfield or West Brom

72%

Draw or West Brom

62%

Winning margin

Huddersfield wins by 2+

16%

West Brom wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Huddersfield 1+ goals

71%

Huddersfield 2+ goals

35%

Huddersfield 3+ goals

13%

West Brom 1+ goals

69%

West Brom 2+ goals

33%

West Brom 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Huddersfield (draw refunded)

52%

West Brom (draw refunded)

48%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Huddersfield at home — creates 1.22, concedes 1.17 · 118 matches

West Brom away — creates 1.18, concedes 1.26 · 163 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Huddersfield attack 1.22 + West Brom defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.24

West Brom attack 1.18 + Huddersfield defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Huddersfield scores more

38%

level

28%

West Brom scores more

35%

Huddersfield at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Huddersfield will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

17

J. Wallace

West Brom · M

8.7

Match Events

11'

F. Anjorin↳ S. Thomas

30'

F. Anjorin

37'

J. Wallace↳ G. Diangana

57'

J. Wallace↳ J. Swift

58'

Jack Rudoni

59'

D. Holmes← F. Anjorin

72'

E. Camara← D. Ward

82'

C. Robinson← J. Molumby

83'

W. Boyle← R. Edmonds-Green

84'

J. Rhodes← J. Russell

85'

T. Gardner-Hickman← D. Furlong

90+5'

Semi Ajayi

90+3'

Grady Diangana

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

HuddersfieldWest

Overview

31%Possession69%

11Total Shots16

6Corners4

2Fouls6

Shots

11Total Shots16

3On Target6

5Off Target8

3Blocked2

7Inside Box12

4Outside Box4

Passing

31%Possession69%

286Total Passes655

171Accurate Passes548

60%Pass Accuracy84%

Goalkeeping

4Saves1

Discipline

2Fouls6

1Yellow Cards2

2Offsides3