Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

West Brom vs Coventry — Championship 2025

West Brom
West Brom
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 2
Coventry
Coventry
J. Rudoni 32'
E. Mason-Clark 5'
2/21/2026ChampionshipChampionship · Round 33The Hawthorns

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 12+ matches

West Brom41%
×Draw28%
Coventry31%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

West Brom
1.27
Coventry
1.05

West Brom creates 21% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 12 away

creates per match

West Brom
1.37
Coventry
1.35

allows per match

West Brom
0.75
Coventry
1.17

finishing

West Brom-0.08on par
Coventry+0.23scores more

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

West Brom ↓

Coventry →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–110%
0–25%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–113%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–18%
2–24%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
41%59%3.5
20%80%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

West Brom or draw
69%
West Brom or Coventry
72%
Draw or Coventry
59%

Winning margin

West Brom wins by 2+
19%
Coventry wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

West Brom 1+ goals
72%
West Brom 2+ goals
36%
West Brom 3+ goals
14%
Coventry 1+ goals
65%
Coventry 2+ goals
28%
Coventry 3+ goals
9%

Draw no bet

West Brom (draw refunded)
57%
Coventry (draw refunded)
43%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

West Brom at home — creates 1.37, concedes 0.75 · 17 matches

Coventry away — creates 1.35, concedes 1.17 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

West Brom attack 1.37 + Coventry defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.27

Coventry attack 1.35 + West Brom defence 0.75 → ÷2 → 1.05

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

West Brom scores more
41%
level
28%
Coventry scores more
31%

West Brom at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "West Brom will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

19
C. RushworthCoventryCoventry · G
7.9

Match Events

5'
E. Mason-Clark↳ M. van Ewijk
16'
Milan van Ewijk
17'
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
32'
J. Rudoni↳ B. Thomas
38'
Bobby Thomas
40'
G. Campbell← A. Gilchrist
61'
M. Johnston← J. Jimoh-Aloba
61'
D. Dike← A. Heggebo
61'
J. Maja← J. Wallace
71'
E. Simms← H. Wright
72'
J. Eccles← J. Rudoni
78'
R. Esse← T. Sakamoto
78'
B. Thomas-Asante← E. Mason-Clark
85'
O. Bostock← A. Mowatt
86'
V. Torp← F. Onyeka

Possession

55%West

Shots

11West

Pass accuracy

52%West

Statistics

WestCoventry
Overview
55%Possession45%
11Total Shots10
0.71Expected Goals (xG)1.19
3Corners2
10Fouls7
Shots
11Total Shots10
1On Target3
4Off Target4
6Blocked3
6Inside Box4
5Outside Box6
Passing
55%Possession45%
518Total Passes434
429Accurate Passes336
83%Pass Accuracy77%
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
0.31Goals Prevented0.31
Discipline
10Fouls7
0Yellow Cards3
1Offsides1

Championship: West Brom 0–2 Coventry

Coventry beat West Brom 2-0 in Championship on February 21, 2026.

Goals: E. Mason-Clark (5'), J. Rudoni (32').

West Brom controlled possession (55%) and registered 11 shots to 10.

The match was played at The Hawthorns in West Bromwich.