Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Weiz vs Voitsberg — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Weiz
Weiz
FT
1 – 0
Voitsberg
Voitsberg
7/9/2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Weiz27%
×Draw19%
Voitsberg54%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Weiz
1.74
Voitsberg
2.49

Voitsberg creates 43% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 11 away

creates per match

Weiz
1.93
Voitsberg
1.91

allows per match

Weiz
3.07
Voitsberg
1.55

finishing

Weiz+0.00on par
Voitsberg+0.00on par

Total goals

79%Over
  • Over79
  • Under21

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

75%Yes
  • Yes75
  • No25

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Weiz ↓

Voitsberg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–14%
0–25%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–28%
1–37%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–16%
2–27%
2–36%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–24%
3–33%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
92%8%2.5
79%21%3.5
60%40%4.5
41%59%

Double chance

Weiz or draw
46%
Weiz or Voitsberg
81%
Draw or Voitsberg
73%

Winning margin

Weiz wins by 2+
13%
Voitsberg wins by 2+
34%

Team goals

Weiz 1+ goals
82%
Weiz 2+ goals
52%
Weiz 3+ goals
25%
Voitsberg 1+ goals
92%
Voitsberg 2+ goals
71%
Voitsberg 3+ goals
45%

Draw no bet

Weiz (draw refunded)
33%
Voitsberg (draw refunded)
67%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
69%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Weiz at home — creates 1.93, concedes 3.07 · 14 matches

Voitsberg away — creates 1.91, concedes 1.55 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Weiz attack 1.93 + Voitsberg defence 1.55 → ÷2 → 1.74

Voitsberg attack 1.91 + Weiz defence 3.07 → ÷2 → 2.49

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Weiz scores more
27%
level
19%
Voitsberg scores more
54%

Voitsberg at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Voitsberg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Weiz 1–0 Voitsberg

Weiz beat Voitsberg 1-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 9, 2021.