Voitsberg 7–0 Weiz: Result & Stats

Voitsberg

FT

7 – 0

HT: 3 – 0

Weiz

4/25/2026

Regionalliga - Mitte · Mitte - 24Munzer Bioindustrie Sportpark Voitsberg

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Voitsberg71%

×Draw16%

Weiz13%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

VoitsbergExpected goals in this matchWeiz

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.78

1.13

Voitsberg

2.78

Weiz

1.13

Voitsberg creates 146% more chances

Season form · 30 home / 105 away

3.50

creates per match

1.73

0.53

allows per match

2.06

creates per match

Voitsberg

3.50

Weiz

1.73

allows per match

Voitsberg

0.53

Weiz

2.06

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Voitsberg+0.00on par

Weiz+0.00on par

Total goals

Over74
Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes63
No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Voitsberg ↓

Weiz →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–02%

0–12%

0–21%

0–30%

0–40%

1

1–06%

1–16%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–07%

3–18%

3–25%

3–32%

3–40%

4

4–05%

4–16%

4–23%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

98%2%1.5

90%10%2.5

74%26%3.5

54%46%4.5

34%66%

Double chance

Voitsberg or draw

87%

Voitsberg or Weiz

84%

Draw or Weiz

29%

Winning margin

Voitsberg wins by 2+

50%

Weiz wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Voitsberg 1+ goals

94%

Voitsberg 2+ goals

76%

Voitsberg 3+ goals

51%

Weiz 1+ goals

68%

Weiz 2+ goals

31%

Weiz 3+ goals

11%

Draw no bet

Voitsberg (draw refunded)

84%

Weiz (draw refunded)

16%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

57%

Both score & under 3

6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Voitsberg at home — creates 3.50, concedes 0.53 · 30 matches

Weiz away — creates 1.73, concedes 2.06 · 105 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Voitsberg attack 3.50 + Weiz defence 2.06 → ÷2 → 2.78

Weiz attack 1.73 + Voitsberg defence 0.53 → ÷2 → 1.13

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 71%?"

Voitsberg scores more

71%

level

16%

Weiz scores more

13%

Voitsberg at 71% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 71% does not mean "Voitsberg will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff