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Weißkirchen / Allhaming vs Union Rohrbach Berg — Landesliga - Oberosterreich 2019

Weißkirchen / Allhaming
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
Union Rohrbach Berg
Union Rohrbach Berg
3/21/2025Landesliga - OberosterreichLandesliga - Oberosterreich · Oberösterreich - 18Sportplatz Weißkirchen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Weißkirchen / Allhaming65%
×Draw19%
Union Rohrbach Berg15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Weißkirchen / Allhaming
2.17
Union Rohrbach Berg
0.93

Weißkirchen / Allhaming creates 133% more chances

Season form · 89 home / 15 away

creates per match

Weißkirchen / Allhaming
2.20
Union Rohrbach Berg
0.73

allows per match

Weißkirchen / Allhaming
1.13
Union Rohrbach Berg
2.13

finishing

Weißkirchen / Allhaming+0.00on par
Union Rohrbach Berg+0.00on par

Total goals

60%Over
  • Over60
  • Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

54%Yes
  • Yes54
  • No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Weißkirchen / Allhaming ↓

Union Rohrbach Berg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–19%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–25%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–17%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–04%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
81%19%2.5
60%40%3.5
37%63%4.5
20%80%

Double chance

Weißkirchen / Allhaming or draw
85%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming or Union Rohrbach Berg
81%
Draw or Union Rohrbach Berg
35%

Winning margin

Weißkirchen / Allhaming wins by 2+
42%
Union Rohrbach Berg wins by 2+
5%

Team goals

Weißkirchen / Allhaming 1+ goals
89%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming 2+ goals
64%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming 3+ goals
36%
Union Rohrbach Berg 1+ goals
61%
Union Rohrbach Berg 2+ goals
24%
Union Rohrbach Berg 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Weißkirchen / Allhaming (draw refunded)
81%
Union Rohrbach Berg (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
44%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Weißkirchen / Allhaming at home — creates 2.20, concedes 1.13 · 89 matches

Union Rohrbach Berg away — creates 0.73, concedes 2.13 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Weißkirchen / Allhaming attack 2.20 + Union Rohrbach Berg defence 2.13 → ÷2 → 2.17

Union Rohrbach Berg attack 0.73 + Weißkirchen / Allhaming defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Weißkirchen / Allhaming scores more
65%
level
19%
Union Rohrbach Berg scores more
15%

Weißkirchen / Allhaming at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Weißkirchen / Allhaming will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Weißkirchen / Allhaming vs Union Rohrbach Berg

Weißkirchen / Allhaming and Union Rohrbach Berg drew 2-2 in Landesliga - Oberosterreich on March 21, 2025.

The match was played at Sportplatz Weißkirchen in Weißkirchen.