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Weißkirchen / Allhaming vs Bad Schallerbach — Landesliga - Oberosterreich 2019

Weißkirchen / Allhaming
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Bad Schallerbach
Bad Schallerbach
10/24/2025Landesliga - OberosterreichLandesliga - Oberosterreich · Oberösterreich - 13Sportplatz Weißkirchen

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 75+ matches

Weißkirchen / Allhaming54%
×Draw22%
Bad Schallerbach24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Weißkirchen / Allhaming
2.02
Bad Schallerbach
1.30

Weißkirchen / Allhaming creates 55% more chances

Season form · 89 home / 75 away

creates per match

Weißkirchen / Allhaming
2.20
Bad Schallerbach
1.48

allows per match

Weißkirchen / Allhaming
1.13
Bad Schallerbach
1.83

finishing

Weißkirchen / Allhaming+0.00on par
Bad Schallerbach+0.00on par

Total goals

64%Over
  • Over64
  • Under36

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Weißkirchen / Allhaming ↓

Bad Schallerbach →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–15%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–07%
1–110%
1–26%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–110%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
64%36%3.5
42%58%4.5
24%76%

Double chance

Weißkirchen / Allhaming or draw
76%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming or Bad Schallerbach
78%
Draw or Bad Schallerbach
46%

Winning margin

Weißkirchen / Allhaming wins by 2+
32%
Bad Schallerbach wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Weißkirchen / Allhaming 1+ goals
87%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming 2+ goals
60%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming 3+ goals
33%
Bad Schallerbach 1+ goals
73%
Bad Schallerbach 2+ goals
37%
Bad Schallerbach 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Weißkirchen / Allhaming (draw refunded)
69%
Bad Schallerbach (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
53%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Weißkirchen / Allhaming at home — creates 2.20, concedes 1.13 · 89 matches

Bad Schallerbach away — creates 1.48, concedes 1.83 · 75 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Weißkirchen / Allhaming attack 2.20 + Bad Schallerbach defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 2.02

Bad Schallerbach attack 1.48 + Weißkirchen / Allhaming defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.30

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 54%?"

Weißkirchen / Allhaming scores more
54%
level
22%
Bad Schallerbach scores more
24%

Weißkirchen / Allhaming at 54% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 54% does not mean "Weißkirchen / Allhaming will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Landesliga - Oberosterreich: Weißkirchen / Allhaming 1–1 Bad Schallerbach

Weißkirchen / Allhaming and Bad Schallerbach drew 1-1 in Landesliga - Oberosterreich on October 24, 2025.

The match was played at Sportplatz Weißkirchen in Weißkirchen.