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Bad Schallerbach vs Weißkirchen / Allhaming — Landesliga - Oberosterreich 2019

Bad Schallerbach
Bad Schallerbach
FT
0 – 1
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
4/1/2025Landesliga - OberosterreichLandesliga - Oberosterreich · Oberösterreich - 19Sportplatz SV Sedda Bad Schallerbach

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 74+ matches

Bad Schallerbach46%
×Draw22%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Bad Schallerbach
1.92
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
1.59

Bad Schallerbach creates 21% more chances

Season form · 74 home / 88 away

creates per match

Bad Schallerbach
2.15
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
1.77

allows per match

Bad Schallerbach
1.41
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
1.70

finishing

Bad Schallerbach+0.00on par
Weißkirchen / Allhaming+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Bad Schallerbach ↓

Weißkirchen / Allhaming →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
86%14%2.5
68%32%3.5
46%54%4.5
27%73%

Double chance

Bad Schallerbach or draw
68%
Bad Schallerbach or Weißkirchen / Allhaming
78%
Draw or Weißkirchen / Allhaming
54%

Winning margin

Bad Schallerbach wins by 2+
25%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Bad Schallerbach 1+ goals
85%
Bad Schallerbach 2+ goals
57%
Bad Schallerbach 3+ goals
30%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming 1+ goals
80%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming 2+ goals
47%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Bad Schallerbach (draw refunded)
59%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming (draw refunded)
41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Bad Schallerbach at home — creates 2.15, concedes 1.41 · 74 matches

Weißkirchen / Allhaming away — creates 1.77, concedes 1.70 · 88 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Bad Schallerbach attack 2.15 + Weißkirchen / Allhaming defence 1.70 → ÷2 → 1.92

Weißkirchen / Allhaming attack 1.77 + Bad Schallerbach defence 1.41 → ÷2 → 1.59

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Bad Schallerbach scores more
46%
level
22%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming scores more
32%

Bad Schallerbach at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Bad Schallerbach will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Landesliga - Oberosterreich: Bad Schallerbach 0–1 Weißkirchen / Allhaming

Weißkirchen / Allhaming beat Bad Schallerbach 1-0 in Landesliga - Oberosterreich on April 1, 2025.

The match was played at Sportplatz SV Sedda Bad Schallerbach in Bad Schallerbach.