WAFA 0–0 Ashanti Gold: Result & Stats

WAFA

FT

0 – 0

Ashanti Gold

2/13/2021

Premier League · Round 14Sogakope Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 41+ matches

WAFA50%

×Draw27%

Ashanti Gold22%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

WAFAExpected goals in this matchAshanti Gold

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.40

0.83

WAFA

1.40

Ashanti Gold

0.83

WAFA creates 69% more chances

Season form · 41 home / 45 away

1.44

creates per match

0.84

0.83

allows per match

1.36

creates per match

WAFA

1.44

Ashanti Gold

0.84

allows per match

WAFA

0.83

Ashanti Gold

1.36

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

WAFA+0.00on par

Ashanti Gold+0.00on par

Total goals

Under62
Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

WAFA ↓

Ashanti Gold →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–011%

0–19%

0–24%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–015%

1–113%

1–25%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–19%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–05%

3–14%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

89%11%1.5

65%35%2.5

38%62%3.5

19%81%4.5

8%92%

Double chance

WAFA or draw

78%

WAFA or Ashanti Gold

73%

Draw or Ashanti Gold

50%

Winning margin

WAFA wins by 2+

25%

Ashanti Gold wins by 2+

7%

Team goals

WAFA 1+ goals

75%

WAFA 2+ goals

41%

WAFA 3+ goals

17%

Ashanti Gold 1+ goals

56%

Ashanti Gold 2+ goals

20%

Ashanti Gold 3+ goals

5%

Draw no bet

WAFA (draw refunded)

69%

Ashanti Gold (draw refunded)

31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

30%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

WAFA at home — creates 1.44, concedes 0.83 · 41 matches

Ashanti Gold away — creates 0.84, concedes 1.36 · 45 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

WAFA attack 1.44 + Ashanti Gold defence 1.36 → ÷2 → 1.40

Ashanti Gold attack 0.84 + WAFA defence 0.83 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 50%?"

WAFA scores more

50%

level

27%

Ashanti Gold scores more

22%

WAFA at 50% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 50% does not mean "WAFA will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

22'

49'

E. Obeng

54'

55'

E. Owusu← E. Owusu

67'

71'

R. Dabuo

90+2'

B. Acquaye← B. Acquaye

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff