Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Wacker Burghausen U19 vs Unterhaching U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Wacker Burghausen U19
Wacker Burghausen U19
FT
4 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Unterhaching U19
Unterhaching U19
3/7/2026U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Wacker Burghausen U1947%
×Draw22%
Unterhaching U1931%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Wacker Burghausen U19
1.98
Unterhaching U19
1.58

Wacker Burghausen U19 creates 25% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 55 away

creates per match

Wacker Burghausen U19
2.00
Unterhaching U19
1.33

allows per match

Wacker Burghausen U19
1.83
Unterhaching U19
1.96

finishing

Wacker Burghausen U19+0.00on par
Unterhaching U19+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Wacker Burghausen U19 ↓

Unterhaching U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–19%
1–27%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Wacker Burghausen U19 or draw
69%
Wacker Burghausen U19 or Unterhaching U19
78%
Draw or Unterhaching U19
53%

Winning margin

Wacker Burghausen U19 wins by 2+
27%
Unterhaching U19 wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Wacker Burghausen U19 1+ goals
86%
Wacker Burghausen U19 2+ goals
59%
Wacker Burghausen U19 3+ goals
31%
Unterhaching U19 1+ goals
79%
Unterhaching U19 2+ goals
47%
Unterhaching U19 3+ goals
21%

Draw no bet

Wacker Burghausen U19 (draw refunded)
60%
Unterhaching U19 (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Wacker Burghausen U19 at home — creates 2.00, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

Unterhaching U19 away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.96 · 55 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Wacker Burghausen U19 attack 2.00 + Unterhaching U19 defence 1.96 → ÷2 → 1.98

Unterhaching U19 attack 1.33 + Wacker Burghausen U19 defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Wacker Burghausen U19 scores more
47%
level
22%
Unterhaching U19 scores more
31%

Wacker Burghausen U19 at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Wacker Burghausen U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Wacker Burghausen U19 vs Unterhaching U19

Wacker Burghausen U19 beat Unterhaching U19 4-1 in U19 Bundesliga on March 7, 2026.