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Unterhaching U19 vs Wacker Burghausen U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Unterhaching U19
Unterhaching U19
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Wacker Burghausen U19
Wacker Burghausen U19
5/14/2026U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · Round 12

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Unterhaching U1962%
×Draw19%
Wacker Burghausen U1919%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Unterhaching U19
2.44
Wacker Burghausen U19
1.29

Unterhaching U19 creates 89% more chances

Season form · 56 home / 6 away

creates per match

Unterhaching U19
1.70
Wacker Burghausen U19
0.50

allows per match

Unterhaching U19
2.09
Wacker Burghausen U19
3.17

finishing

Unterhaching U19+0.00on par
Wacker Burghausen U19+0.00on par

Total goals

72%Over
  • Over72
  • Under28

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Unterhaching U19 ↓

Wacker Burghausen U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
89%11%2.5
72%28%3.5
51%49%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Unterhaching U19 or draw
81%
Unterhaching U19 or Wacker Burghausen U19
81%
Draw or Wacker Burghausen U19
38%

Winning margin

Unterhaching U19 wins by 2+
41%
Wacker Burghausen U19 wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Unterhaching U19 1+ goals
91%
Unterhaching U19 2+ goals
70%
Unterhaching U19 3+ goals
43%
Wacker Burghausen U19 1+ goals
72%
Wacker Burghausen U19 2+ goals
37%
Wacker Burghausen U19 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Unterhaching U19 (draw refunded)
77%
Wacker Burghausen U19 (draw refunded)
23%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
58%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Unterhaching U19 at home — creates 1.70, concedes 2.09 · 56 matches

Wacker Burghausen U19 away — creates 0.50, concedes 3.17 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Unterhaching U19 attack 1.70 + Wacker Burghausen U19 defence 3.17 → ÷2 → 2.44

Wacker Burghausen U19 attack 0.50 + Unterhaching U19 defence 2.09 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 62%?"

Unterhaching U19 scores more
62%
level
19%
Wacker Burghausen U19 scores more
19%

Unterhaching U19 at 62% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 62% does not mean "Unterhaching U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Unterhaching U19 0 – 0 Wacker Burghausen U19

Unterhaching U19 and Wacker Burghausen U19 drew 0-0 in U19 Bundesliga on May 14, 2026.