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Vysočina Jihlava vs Táborsko — FNL 2019

Vysočina Jihlava
Vysočina Jihlava
FT
0 – 2
HT: 0 – 1
Táborsko
Táborsko
7/25/2025FNLFNL · Round 2Stadion v Jiraskove ulici

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 88+ matches

Vysočina Jihlava43%
×Draw26%
Táborsko31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vysočina Jihlava
1.44
Táborsko
1.19

Vysočina Jihlava creates 21% more chances

Season form · 103 home / 88 away

creates per match

Vysočina Jihlava
1.54
Táborsko
1.15

allows per match

Vysočina Jihlava
1.22
Táborsko
1.34

finishing

Vysočina Jihlava+0.00on par
Táborsko+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vysočina Jihlava ↓

Táborsko →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Vysočina Jihlava or draw
69%
Vysočina Jihlava or Táborsko
74%
Draw or Táborsko
57%

Winning margin

Vysočina Jihlava wins by 2+
21%
Táborsko wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Vysočina Jihlava 1+ goals
76%
Vysočina Jihlava 2+ goals
42%
Vysočina Jihlava 3+ goals
18%
Táborsko 1+ goals
70%
Táborsko 2+ goals
33%
Táborsko 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Vysočina Jihlava (draw refunded)
58%
Táborsko (draw refunded)
42%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vysočina Jihlava at home — creates 1.54, concedes 1.22 · 103 matches

Táborsko away — creates 1.15, concedes 1.34 · 88 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vysočina Jihlava attack 1.54 + Táborsko defence 1.34 → ÷2 → 1.44

Táborsko attack 1.15 + Vysočina Jihlava defence 1.22 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Vysočina Jihlava scores more
43%
level
26%
Táborsko scores more
31%

Vysočina Jihlava at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Vysočina Jihlava will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Vysočina Jihlava vs Táborsko

Táborsko beat Vysočina Jihlava 2-0 in FNL on July 25, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion v Jiraskove ulici in Jihlava.