Vysočina Jihlava 0–5 Pardubice: Result & Stats

Vysočina Jihlava

FT

0 – 5

HT: 0 – 4

Pardubice

V. Samuel 77'

V. Patrak 36', 3' (pen)

V. Drchal 34'

A. Tanko 32'

7/18/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Vysočina Jihlava58%

×Draw21%

Pardubice21%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Vysočina JihlavaExpected goals in this matchPardubice

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.13

1.21

Vysočina Jihlava

2.13

Pardubice

1.21

Vysočina Jihlava creates 76% more chances

Season form · 16 home / 11 away

3.00

creates per match

1.36

1.06

allows per match

1.27

creates per match

Vysočina Jihlava

3.00

Pardubice

1.36

allows per match

Vysočina Jihlava

1.06

Pardubice

1.27

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Vysočina Jihlava+0.00on par

Pardubice+0.00on par

Total goals

Over65
Under35

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vysočina Jihlava ↓

Pardubice →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–14%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–08%

1–19%

1–26%

1–32%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–110%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–06%

3–17%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

85%15%2.5

65%35%3.5

42%58%4.5

24%76%

Double chance

Vysočina Jihlava or draw

79%

Vysočina Jihlava or Pardubice

79%

Draw or Pardubice

42%

Winning margin

Vysočina Jihlava wins by 2+

36%

Pardubice wins by 2+

8%

Team goals

Vysočina Jihlava 1+ goals

88%

Vysočina Jihlava 2+ goals

63%

Vysočina Jihlava 3+ goals

35%

Pardubice 1+ goals

70%

Pardubice 2+ goals

34%

Pardubice 3+ goals

12%

Draw no bet

Vysočina Jihlava (draw refunded)

73%

Pardubice (draw refunded)

27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vysočina Jihlava at home — creates 3.00, concedes 1.06 · 16 matches

Pardubice away — creates 1.36, concedes 1.27 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vysočina Jihlava attack 3.00 + Pardubice defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 2.13

Pardubice attack 1.36 + Vysočina Jihlava defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.21

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Vysočina Jihlava scores more

58%

level

21%

Pardubice scores more

21%

Vysočina Jihlava at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Vysočina Jihlava will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

3'

V. PatrakPenalty

32'

A. Tanko

34'

V. Drchal

35'

36'

V. Patrak

39'

77'

V. Samuel

Vysočina

Pardubice

30

Mandous

6

Icha

8

Simek

10

⚽2

Patrak

15

Godwin

17

⚽

Drchal

19

Hlavaty

20

⚽

21

40

43

32

19

18

6

21

8

22

11

27

24

9

Manager: Marek Nikl

Vysočina Jihlava substitutes

31Slavata7FranekAbdulfatai40Alkasim25Matousek42Selicha20Lopatar46SambouKhalidOdekunle12UsmanRibeiro

Manager: Jan Trousil

Pardubice substitutes

1Serak44Bammens90Botos5Hamza16Jelinek25Mahuta77Saarma35Samuel9Smekal12Tredl11Zima

Match Recap: Vysočina Jihlava vs Pardubice

Pardubice beat Vysočina Jihlava 5-0 in Friendlies Clubs on July 18, 2026.

Goals: V. Patrak (3' pen, 36'), A. Tanko (32'), V. Drchal (34'), V. Samuel (77').

Vysočina Jihlava vs Pardubice — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Vysočina Jihlava vs Pardubice