Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden vs Mondsee — Landesliga - Oberosterreich 2019

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden
Vortuna Bad Leonfelden
FT
3 – 2
HT: 3 – 0
Mondsee
Mondsee
4/4/2026Landesliga - OberosterreichLandesliga - Oberosterreich · Oberösterreich - 20Sportplatz Bad Leonfelden

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 46+ matches

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden43%
×Draw23%
Mondsee34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden
1.81
Mondsee
1.60

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden creates 13% more chances

Season form · 46 home / 90 away

creates per match

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden
1.80
Mondsee
1.71

allows per match

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden
1.50
Mondsee
1.83

finishing

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden+0.00on par
Mondsee+0.00on par

Total goals

66%Over
  • Over66
  • Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

67%Yes
  • Yes67
  • No33

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden ↓

Mondsee →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–06%
1–110%
1–28%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
85%15%2.5
66%34%3.5
44%56%4.5
25%75%

Double chance

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden or draw
66%
Vortuna Bad Leonfelden or Mondsee
77%
Draw or Mondsee
57%

Winning margin

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden wins by 2+
23%
Mondsee wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 1+ goals
84%
Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 2+ goals
54%
Vortuna Bad Leonfelden 3+ goals
27%
Mondsee 1+ goals
80%
Mondsee 2+ goals
47%
Mondsee 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden (draw refunded)
56%
Mondsee (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden at home — creates 1.80, concedes 1.50 · 46 matches

Mondsee away — creates 1.71, concedes 1.83 · 90 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden attack 1.80 + Mondsee defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.81

Mondsee attack 1.71 + Vortuna Bad Leonfelden defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden scores more
43%
level
23%
Mondsee scores more
34%

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Vortuna Bad Leonfelden will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Vortuna Bad Leonfelden vs Mondsee

Vortuna Bad Leonfelden beat Mondsee 3-2 in Landesliga - Oberosterreich on April 4, 2026.

The match was played at Sportplatz Bad Leonfelden in Bad Leonfelden.