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Vojvodina vs Radnicki 1923 — Super Liga 2026

Vojvodina
Vojvodina
FT
3 – 2
HT: 2 – 0
Radnicki 1923
Radnicki 1923
12/21/2024Super LigaSuper Liga · Round 20Stadion Karađorđe

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 94+ matches

Vojvodina48%
×Draw25%
Radnicki 192327%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vojvodina
1.54
Radnicki 1923
1.08

Vojvodina creates 43% more chances

Season form · 144 home / 94 away

creates per match

Vojvodina
1.57
Radnicki 1923
1.15

allows per match

Vojvodina
1.02
Radnicki 1923
1.52

finishing

Vojvodina+0.00on par
Radnicki 1923+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

52%Yes
  • Yes52
  • No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vojvodina ↓

Radnicki 1923 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–18%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–011%
1–112%
1–27%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Vojvodina or draw
73%
Vojvodina or Radnicki 1923
75%
Draw or Radnicki 1923
52%

Winning margin

Vojvodina wins by 2+
24%
Radnicki 1923 wins by 2+
10%

Team goals

Vojvodina 1+ goals
79%
Vojvodina 2+ goals
45%
Vojvodina 3+ goals
20%
Radnicki 1923 1+ goals
66%
Radnicki 1923 2+ goals
29%
Radnicki 1923 3+ goals
10%

Draw no bet

Vojvodina (draw refunded)
64%
Radnicki 1923 (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
40%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vojvodina at home — creates 1.57, concedes 1.02 · 144 matches

Radnicki 1923 away — creates 1.15, concedes 1.52 · 94 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vojvodina attack 1.57 + Radnicki 1923 defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.54

Radnicki 1923 attack 1.15 + Vojvodina defence 1.02 → ÷2 → 1.08

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Vojvodina scores more
48%
level
25%
Radnicki 1923 scores more
27%

Vojvodina at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Vojvodina will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super Liga: Vojvodina 3–2 Radnicki 1923

Vojvodina beat Radnicki 1923 3-2 in Super Liga on December 21, 2024.

The match was played at Stadion Karađorđe in Novi Sad.