Radnicki 1923 0–1 Vojvodina: Result & Stats

Radnicki 1923

FT

0 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Vojvodina

3/15/2026

Super Liga · Round 27Cika Daca Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 93+ matches

Radnicki 192338%

×Draw26%

Vojvodina36%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Radnicki 1923Expected goals in this matchVojvodina

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.35

1.32

Radnicki 1923

1.35

Vojvodina

1.32

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 93 home / 146 away

1.44

creates per match

1.36

1.28

allows per match

1.26

creates per match

Radnicki 1923

1.44

Vojvodina

1.36

allows per match

Radnicki 1923

1.28

Vojvodina

1.26

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Radnicki 1923+0.00on par

Vojvodina+0.00on par

Total goals

Under50
Over50

Close call

Both teams score

Yes54
No46

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Radnicki 1923 ↓

Vojvodina →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–07%

0–19%

0–26%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–09%

1–112%

1–28%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–26%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–14%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

93%7%1.5

75%25%2.5

50%50%3.5

28%72%4.5

13%87%

Double chance

Radnicki 1923 or draw

64%

Radnicki 1923 or Vojvodina

74%

Draw or Vojvodina

62%

Winning margin

Radnicki 1923 wins by 2+

17%

Vojvodina wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Radnicki 1923 1+ goals

74%

Radnicki 1923 2+ goals

39%

Radnicki 1923 3+ goals

15%

Vojvodina 1+ goals

73%

Vojvodina 2+ goals

38%

Vojvodina 3+ goals

15%

Draw no bet

Radnicki 1923 (draw refunded)

51%

Vojvodina (draw refunded)

49%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

42%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Radnicki 1923 at home — creates 1.44, concedes 1.28 · 93 matches

Vojvodina away — creates 1.36, concedes 1.26 · 146 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Radnicki 1923 attack 1.44 + Vojvodina defence 1.26 → ÷2 → 1.35

Vojvodina attack 1.36 + Radnicki 1923 defence 1.28 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Radnicki 1923 scores more

38%

level

26%

Vojvodina scores more

36%

Radnicki 1923 at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Radnicki 1923 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff