Scoreo

Vojvodina 1928 vs Omladinac NBSrpska Liga - Vojvodina 2019

5/18/2025Srpska Liga - VojvodinaSrpska Liga - Vojvodina · Vojvodina - 27Stadion Vojvodina 1928

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 42+ matches

Vojvodina 192826%
×Draw28%
Omladinac NB46%
Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vojvodina 1928
0.96
Omladinac NB
1.36

Omladinac NB creates 42% more chances

Season form · 42 home / 103 away

creates per match

Vojvodina 1928
0.81
Omladinac NB
1.09

allows per match

Vojvodina 1928
1.64
Omladinac NB
1.10

finishing

Vojvodina 1928+0.00on par
Omladinac NB+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

54%No
  • No54
  • Yes46

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vojvodina 1928

Omladinac NB
0
1
2
3
4
0
0010%
0113%
029%
034%
041%
1
109%
1113%
129%
134%
141%
2
205%
216%
224%
232%
241%
3
301%
312%
321%
331%
340%
4
400%
410%
420%
430%
440%

Most likely 0–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
67%33%2.5
41%59%3.5
20%80%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Vojvodina 1928 or draw
54%
Vojvodina 1928 or Omladinac NB
72%
Draw or Omladinac NB
74%

Winning margin

Vojvodina 1928 wins by 2+
9%
Omladinac NB wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Vojvodina 1928 1+ goals
62%
Vojvodina 1928 2+ goals
25%
Vojvodina 1928 3+ goals
7%
Omladinac NB 1+ goals
74%
Omladinac NB 2+ goals
39%
Omladinac NB 3+ goals
16%

Draw no bet

Vojvodina 1928 (draw refunded)
37%
Omladinac NB (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
33%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vojvodina 1928 at homecreates 0.81, concedes 1.64 · 42 matches

Omladinac NB awaycreates 1.09, concedes 1.10 · 103 matches

Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vojvodina 1928 attack 0.81 + Omladinac NB defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 0.96

Omladinac NB attack 1.09 + Vojvodina 1928 defence 1.64 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Vojvodina 1928 scores more
26%
level
28%
Omladinac NB scores more
46%

Omladinac NB at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Omladinac NB will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina: Vojvodina 1928 0–3 Omladinac NB

Omladinac NB beat Vojvodina 1928 3-0 in Srpska Liga - Vojvodina on May 18, 2025.

The match was played at Stadion Vojvodina 1928 in Perlez.