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Vlašim vs Vysočina Jihlava — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Vlašim
Vlašim
FT
2 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Vysočina Jihlava
Vysočina Jihlava
2/21/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Vlašim58%
×Draw20%
Vysočina Jihlava22%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vlašim
2.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.32

Vlašim creates 72% more chances

Season form · 17 home / 20 away

creates per match

Vlašim
2.24
Vysočina Jihlava
1.40

allows per match

Vlašim
1.24
Vysočina Jihlava
2.30

finishing

Vlašim+0.00on par
Vysočina Jihlava+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Over
  • Over69
  • Under31

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

66%Yes
  • Yes66
  • No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vlašim ↓

Vysočina Jihlava →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–26%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–17%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
69%31%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Vlašim or draw
78%
Vlašim or Vysočina Jihlava
80%
Draw or Vysočina Jihlava
42%

Winning margin

Vlašim wins by 2+
37%
Vysočina Jihlava wins by 2+
9%

Team goals

Vlašim 1+ goals
90%
Vlašim 2+ goals
66%
Vlašim 3+ goals
39%
Vysočina Jihlava 1+ goals
73%
Vysočina Jihlava 2+ goals
38%
Vysočina Jihlava 3+ goals
15%

Draw no bet

Vlašim (draw refunded)
73%
Vysočina Jihlava (draw refunded)
27%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
57%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vlašim at home — creates 2.24, concedes 1.24 · 17 matches

Vysočina Jihlava away — creates 1.40, concedes 2.30 · 20 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vlašim attack 2.24 + Vysočina Jihlava defence 2.30 → ÷2 → 2.27

Vysočina Jihlava attack 1.40 + Vlašim defence 1.24 → ÷2 → 1.32

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Vlašim scores more
58%
level
20%
Vysočina Jihlava scores more
22%

Vlašim at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Vlašim will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Vlašim
Vysočina
David Strihavka
Manager: David Strihavka
Jiri Lerch
Manager: Jiri Lerch

Friendlies Clubs: Vlašim 2–1 Vysočina Jihlava

Vlašim beat Vysočina Jihlava 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on February 21, 2026.