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Vittsjö W vs Norrköping W — Damallsvenskan 2020

Vittsjö W
Vittsjö W
Preview
13:00
Norrköping W
Norrköping W
8/23/2026DamallsvenskanDamallsvenskan · Round 15Vittsjo
Big match
41%
Vittsjö W
model favours
41%26%33%

Vittsjö W are unbeaten in 6 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
51%
under 2.5 goals
53%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 44+ matches

Vittsjö W41%
×Draw26%
Norrköping W33%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vittsjö W
1.40
Norrköping W
1.22

Vittsjö W creates 15% more chances

Season form · 79 home / 44 away

creates per match

Vittsjö W
1.48
Norrköping W
1.30

allows per match

Vittsjö W
1.14
Norrköping W
1.32

finishing

Vittsjö W+0.00on par
Norrköping W+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vittsjö W ↓

Norrköping W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–19%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–07%
2–19%
2–25%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–14%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
12%88%

Double chance

Vittsjö W or draw
67%
Vittsjö W or Norrköping W
74%
Draw or Norrköping W
59%

Winning margin

Vittsjö W wins by 2+
19%
Norrköping W wins by 2+
14%

Team goals

Vittsjö W 1+ goals
75%
Vittsjö W 2+ goals
41%
Vittsjö W 3+ goals
17%
Norrköping W 1+ goals
70%
Norrköping W 2+ goals
34%
Norrköping W 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Vittsjö W (draw refunded)
56%
Norrköping W (draw refunded)
44%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
41%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vittsjö W at home — creates 1.48, concedes 1.14 · 79 matches

Norrköping W away — creates 1.30, concedes 1.32 · 44 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vittsjö W attack 1.48 + Norrköping W defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.40

Norrköping W attack 1.30 + Vittsjö W defence 1.14 → ÷2 → 1.22

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Vittsjö W scores more
41%
level
26%
Norrköping W scores more
33%

Vittsjö W at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Vittsjö W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Norrköping W score first in only 25% of matches
  • Vittsjö W score first in only 27% of matches
  • Vittsjö W have scored in 9 games running
  • Both teams score in 82% of Vittsjö W’s matches
  • Style contrast — Vittsjö W play Direct / counter-attacking, Norrköping W Defensively solid
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Style Matchup

Contrasting styles
Vittsjö W
Direct / counter-attacking
Norrköping W
Defensively solid
43%Possession48%
69%Pass accuracy74%
8.9Shots12.6
0.91xGBiggest gap1.31
Pass acc.ShotsxGBox shareShot acc.Defense
Vittsjö WNorrköping W

Head-to-head

7 previous meetings

2
Vittsjö W
3
Draws
2
Norrköping W
Avg goals: 2.1BTTS: 71%
1–10–21–11–11–2

Playing styles from match stats. Historical H2H record. Not a prediction.

Form
W
DWDLW
W
DDDLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Vittsjö W vs Norrköping W — Match Preview

Vittsjö W face Norrköping W on August 23, 2026 in this Damallsvenskan fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Vittsjö W host Norrköping W at Vittsjo.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.