Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Vis Kosova vs Jedinstvo Bihać — 1st League - FBiH 2019

Vis Kosova
Vis Kosova
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 0
Jedinstvo Bihać
Jedinstvo Bihać
3/9/20241st League - FBiH1st League - FBiH · FBiH - 16Gradski stadion Maglaj

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

Vis Kosova57%
×Draw24%
Jedinstvo Bihać19%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Vis Kosova
1.73
Jedinstvo Bihać
0.90

Vis Kosova creates 92% more chances

Season form · 60 home / 95 away

creates per match

Vis Kosova
1.50
Jedinstvo Bihać
0.69

allows per match

Vis Kosova
1.10
Jedinstvo Bihać
1.97

finishing

Vis Kosova+0.00on par
Jedinstvo Bihać+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Under
  • Under51
  • Over49

Close call

Both teams score

51%No
  • No51
  • Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Vis Kosova ↓

Jedinstvo Bihać →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–17%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–012%
1–111%
1–25%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–110%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–16%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
74%26%2.5
49%51%3.5
27%73%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Vis Kosova or draw
81%
Vis Kosova or Jedinstvo Bihać
76%
Draw or Jedinstvo Bihać
43%

Winning margin

Vis Kosova wins by 2+
32%
Jedinstvo Bihać wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Vis Kosova 1+ goals
82%
Vis Kosova 2+ goals
52%
Vis Kosova 3+ goals
25%
Jedinstvo Bihać 1+ goals
59%
Jedinstvo Bihać 2+ goals
23%
Jedinstvo Bihać 3+ goals
6%

Draw no bet

Vis Kosova (draw refunded)
75%
Jedinstvo Bihać (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
38%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Vis Kosova at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.10 · 60 matches

Jedinstvo Bihać away — creates 0.69, concedes 1.97 · 95 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Vis Kosova attack 1.50 + Jedinstvo Bihać defence 1.97 → ÷2 → 1.73

Jedinstvo Bihać attack 0.69 + Vis Kosova defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 0.90

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Vis Kosova scores more
57%
level
24%
Jedinstvo Bihać scores more
19%

Vis Kosova at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Vis Kosova will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Vis Kosova vs Jedinstvo Bihać

Vis Kosova and Jedinstvo Bihać drew 1-1 in 1st League - FBiH on March 9, 2024.

The match was played at Gradski stadion Maglaj in Maglaj.