Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 22+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
55%
Over
45%
Under
Both Score
59%
Yes
41%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12%
2-1
9%
1-2
8%
xG Profile (28 home / 22 away matches)
Villarreal
xG 1.68 · xGA 1.15
+0.64 vs xG
Real Madrid
xG 1.7 · xGA 1.28
-0.02 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Villarreal vs Real Madrid — La Liga 2026
- Date
- Mar 15, 2025, 5:30 PM
- Tournament
- La Liga · La Liga · Regular Season - 28
- Referee
- Gil Manzano
- Venue
- Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Villarreal
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.56054%
- Under 2.55146%
Both teams scored
- Yes6861%
- No4339%
Real Madrid
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.54362%
- Under 2.52638%
Both teams scored
- Yes3957%
- No3043%
Player of the match
Match Events

If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Villarreal host Real Madrid on Saturday, 15 March 2025 at 17:30. The match is part of the La Liga 2026/2027 season.
La Liga: Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid beat Villarreal 2-1 in La Liga on March 15, 2025.
Goals: J. Foyth (7'), K. Mbappé (17', 23').
Real Madrid controlled possession (54%) and registered 9 shots to 23.
The match was played at Estadio de la Cerámica in Villarreal.
























