Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 19+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
55%
Over
45%
Under
Both Score
56%
Yes
44%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11%
2-1
10%
1-0
10%
xG Profile (19 home / 19 away matches)
Real Madrid
xG 2.28 · xGA 0.99
+0.09 vs xG
Villarreal
xG 1.26 · xGA 1.27
+0 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal — La Liga 2026
La Liga·2026📍Estadio Santiago Bernabéu- Date
- Oct 4, 2025, 7:00 PM
- Tournament
- La Liga · Regular Season - 8
- Venue
- Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Real Madrid
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53964%
- Under 2.52236%
Both teams scored
- Yes3557%
- No2643%
Villarreal
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52860%
- Under 2.51940%
Both teams scored
- Yes2860%
- No1940%
Match Events
Head to Head
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Elche
Alaves
Sevilla
Osasuna
Mallorca
Levante
Girona
OviedoIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Real Madrid host Villarreal on Saturday, 4 October 2025 at 19:00. The match is part of the La Liga 2026/2027 season.
La Liga: Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal
Real Madrid beat Villarreal 3-1 in La Liga on October 4, 2025.
Goals: Vinicius Junior (47', 69' pen), G. Mikautadze (73'), K. Mbappe (81').
Real Madrid controlled possession (70%) and registered 26 shots to 9.
The match was played at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid.