Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Viktoria Plzeň W vs Slovan Liberec W — 1. Liga Women 2020

Viktoria Plzeň W
Viktoria Plzeň W
FT
0 – 0
Slovan Liberec W
Slovan Liberec W
3/16/20241. Liga Women1. Liga Women · Round 12Luční UMT

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 60+ matches

Viktoria Plzeň W38%
×Draw21%
Slovan Liberec W40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Viktoria Plzeň W
1.89
Slovan Liberec W
1.95

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 60 home / 60 away

creates per match

Viktoria Plzeň W
1.65
Slovan Liberec W
1.67

allows per match

Viktoria Plzeň W
2.23
Slovan Liberec W
2.12

finishing

Viktoria Plzeň W+0.00on par
Slovan Liberec W+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Over
  • Over74
  • Under26

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

73%Yes
  • Yes73
  • No27

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viktoria Plzeň W ↓

Slovan Liberec W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–24%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–04%
1–18%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (8%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
90%10%2.5
74%26%3.5
53%47%4.5
34%66%

Double chance

Viktoria Plzeň W or draw
60%
Viktoria Plzeň W or Slovan Liberec W
79%
Draw or Slovan Liberec W
62%

Winning margin

Viktoria Plzeň W wins by 2+
20%
Slovan Liberec W wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Viktoria Plzeň W 1+ goals
85%
Viktoria Plzeň W 2+ goals
56%
Viktoria Plzeň W 3+ goals
29%
Slovan Liberec W 1+ goals
86%
Slovan Liberec W 2+ goals
58%
Slovan Liberec W 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Viktoria Plzeň W (draw refunded)
49%
Slovan Liberec W (draw refunded)
51%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
65%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viktoria Plzeň W at home — creates 1.65, concedes 2.23 · 60 matches

Slovan Liberec W away — creates 1.67, concedes 2.12 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viktoria Plzeň W attack 1.65 + Slovan Liberec W defence 2.12 → ÷2 → 1.89

Slovan Liberec W attack 1.67 + Viktoria Plzeň W defence 2.23 → ÷2 → 1.95

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Viktoria Plzeň W scores more
38%
level
21%
Slovan Liberec W scores more
40%

Slovan Liberec W at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Slovan Liberec W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

1. Liga Women: Viktoria Plzeň W 0–0 Slovan Liberec W

Viktoria Plzeň W and Slovan Liberec W drew 0-0 in 1. Liga Women on March 16, 2024.

The match was played at Luční UMT in Plzeň.