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Viktoria Otrokovice vs Považská Bystrica — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Viktoria Otrokovice
Viktoria Otrokovice
CANC
17:00
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
1/18/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Viktoria Otrokovice56%
×Draw19%
Považská Bystrica25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Viktoria Otrokovice
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.65

Viktoria Otrokovice creates 52% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 10 away

creates per match

Viktoria Otrokovice
2.80
Považská Bystrica
1.10

allows per match

Viktoria Otrokovice
2.20
Považská Bystrica
2.20

finishing

Viktoria Otrokovice+0.00on par
Považská Bystrica+0.00on par

Total goals

78%Over
  • Over78
  • Under22

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

74%Yes
  • Yes74
  • No26

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viktoria Otrokovice ↓

Považská Bystrica →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–04%
1–17%
1–25%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–17%
3–26%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–24%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (8%) · grid covers 88% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
92%8%2.5
78%22%3.5
59%41%4.5
39%61%

Double chance

Viktoria Otrokovice or draw
75%
Viktoria Otrokovice or Považská Bystrica
81%
Draw or Považská Bystrica
44%

Winning margin

Viktoria Otrokovice wins by 2+
35%
Považská Bystrica wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Viktoria Otrokovice 1+ goals
92%
Viktoria Otrokovice 2+ goals
71%
Viktoria Otrokovice 3+ goals
45%
Považská Bystrica 1+ goals
81%
Považská Bystrica 2+ goals
49%
Považská Bystrica 3+ goals
23%

Draw no bet

Viktoria Otrokovice (draw refunded)
69%
Považská Bystrica (draw refunded)
31%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
67%
Both score & under 3
7%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viktoria Otrokovice at home — creates 2.80, concedes 2.20 · 5 matches

Považská Bystrica away — creates 1.10, concedes 2.20 · 10 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viktoria Otrokovice attack 2.80 + Považská Bystrica defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 2.50

Považská Bystrica attack 1.10 + Viktoria Otrokovice defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 1.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Viktoria Otrokovice scores more
56%
level
19%
Považská Bystrica scores more
25%

Viktoria Otrokovice at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Viktoria Otrokovice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Viktoria Otrokovice face Považská Bystrica (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Viktoria Otrokovice hosting Považská Bystrica. Match starts January 18, 2023. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.