Viktoria Köln U19 2–1 Meerbusch U19: Result & Stats

Viktoria Köln U19

FT

2 – 1

HT: 1 – 1

Meerbusch U19

P. Köhl 62'

G. Amisso 4'

B. Schmitt 23' (OG)

4/12/2025

U19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 10Aggerstadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 14+ matches

Viktoria Köln U1956%

×Draw21%

Meerbusch U1923%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Viktoria Köln U19Expected goals in this matchMeerbusch U19

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.10

1.29

Viktoria Köln U19

2.10

Meerbusch U19

1.29

Viktoria Köln U19 creates 63% more chances

Season form · 65 home / 14 away

1.92

creates per match

1.14

1.45

allows per match

2.29

creates per match

Viktoria Köln U19

1.92

Meerbusch U19

1.14

allows per match

Viktoria Köln U19

1.45

Meerbusch U19

2.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Viktoria Köln U19+0.00on par

Meerbusch U19+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Viktoria Köln U19 ↓

Meerbusch U19 →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–14%

0–23%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–07%

1–19%

1–26%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–110%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–05%

3–17%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–03%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

66%34%3.5

44%56%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Viktoria Köln U19 or draw

77%

Viktoria Köln U19 or Meerbusch U19

79%

Draw or Meerbusch U19

44%

Winning margin

Viktoria Köln U19 wins by 2+

34%

Meerbusch U19 wins by 2+

10%

Team goals

Viktoria Köln U19 1+ goals

88%

Viktoria Köln U19 2+ goals

62%

Viktoria Köln U19 3+ goals

35%

Meerbusch U19 1+ goals

72%

Meerbusch U19 2+ goals

37%

Meerbusch U19 3+ goals

14%

Draw no bet

Viktoria Köln U19 (draw refunded)

71%

Meerbusch U19 (draw refunded)

29%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

54%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Viktoria Köln U19 at home — creates 1.92, concedes 1.45 · 65 matches

Meerbusch U19 away — creates 1.14, concedes 2.29 · 14 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Viktoria Köln U19 attack 1.92 + Meerbusch U19 defence 2.29 → ÷2 → 2.10

Meerbusch U19 attack 1.14 + Viktoria Köln U19 defence 1.45 → ÷2 → 1.29

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Viktoria Köln U19 scores more

56%

level

21%

Meerbusch U19 scores more

23%

Viktoria Köln U19 at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Viktoria Köln U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

4'

G. Amisso

23'

B. SchmittOwn goal

37'

J. Asamoah← V. Habarov

46'

T. Abessouguie← B. Avzii

62'

P. Köhl

63'

D. Gyamfi← I. Özel

63'

J. Karakis← J. Schlotter

70'

P. Müller← L. Lahi

70'

T. Behle← Y. El Kandri

72'

A. Memeti← G. Amisso

72'

I. Masongele← F. Fricke

80'

F. Friedrichs← L. Soldanski

80'

S. Çetin← Enrique Pato Rivas

90+1'

K. Rakowiecki← P. Köhl

Viktoria

Meerbusch

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

🥅

▼

⚽

▼

Köhl

⚽

▼

Amisso

▼

Rivas

Manager: P. Schiavo

46'▲T. Abessouguie←▼B. Avzii

72'▲A. Memeti←▼G. Amisso

72'▲I. Masongele←▼F. Fricke

80'▲F. Friedrichs←▼L. Soldanski

80'▲S. Çetin←▼Enrique Pato Rivas

90+1'▲K. Rakowiecki←▼P. Köhl

Viktoria Köln U19 substitutes

AbessouguieMemetiMasongeleFriedrichsÇetinRakowieckiDortmann

Manager: M. Roch

37'▲J. Asamoah←▼V. Habarov

63'▲D. Gyamfi←▼I. Özel

63'▲J. Karakis←▼J. Schlotter

70'▲P. Müller←▼L. Lahi

70'▲T. Behle←▼Y. El Kandri

Meerbusch U19 substitutes

AsamoahGyamfiKarakisMüllerBehleGrabek